Pistons vs Pacers Prediction 1/17/26 NBA Picks Today
Indiana Pacers (10-32) vs. Detroit Pistons (29-10)
January 17, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons -12.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Indiana Pacers and Detroit Pistons meet Saturday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Pistons vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Pistons vs Pacers Pick.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
The Indiana Pacers beat the Pelicans, lost to the Raptors, and they play the 76ers next. The Pacers have won 4 of their last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers are averaging 110.6 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.6 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 17.8 points and 5.5 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Obi Toppin is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons beat the Suns, lost to the Clippers, and they play the Celtics next. The Pistons have won 13 of their last 19 games.
The Detroit Pistons are averaging 118.8 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 26.6 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Jalen Duren is averaging 17.9 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Ausar Thompson is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Pacers have lost each of their last 13 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pistons have won each of their last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Saturday road games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Pacers’ last five games at Little Caesars Arena.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Pacers’ last five games.
- The Pistons have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last seven Saturday games against the Pistons.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Pistons’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Pacers’ last six road games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Detroit Pistons Player Facts
- Jalen Duren ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for points in the paint per game (13.4) this season.
- Isaiah Stewart ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.1) this season.
Indiana Pacers Player Facts
- Jay Huff ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.
- T.J. McConnell ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (10.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.2).
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.7).
- The Pacers rank 30th in the league for field goal percentage this season (44.4%).
- The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.4).
Pistons vs Pacers Injury Report
Paul Reed is questionable for the Pistons.
The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, and Isaiah Jackson.
Pistons vs Pacers Prediction
The Pistons are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home with the rest advantage. The Pacers are also just 2-16 SU on the road. However, the Pacers are as healthy as they’ve been all season, and it’s led to wins in 4 of their last 5 games. The Pacers have also covered 7 of their last 10 games. I’m also not a fan of the Pistons in the massive favorite role, as many of their games can be a grind. The Pistons often lack the offensive explosion to pull away and cover these large numbers. Give me the boatload of points with the Pacers.