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Hornets vs Mavericks Prediction 3/3/26 NBA Picks Today

Dallas Mavericks (21-39) vs. Charlotte Hornets (30-31)
March 3, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Charlotte Hornets -12.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Charlotte Hornets meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Spectrum Center. Here’s a Hornets vs. Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Hornets vs. Mavericks pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Thunder and Grizzlies, and they play the Magic next. The Mavs have lost 13 of their last 15 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets beat the Pacers and Trail Blazers, and they play the Celtics next. The Hornets have won 14 of their last 17 games.

The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 116.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 113.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Brandon Miller is averaging 20.9 points and 3.4 assists, while Kon Knueppel is averaging 19.4 points and 5.4 rebounds. LaMelo Ball is the third double-digit scorer, and Miles Bridges is dishing out 3.4 assists. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last 12 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Hornets have won each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Hornets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Hornets have lost each of their last seven home games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The road team has won each of the Mavericks’ last five games.
  • The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the Hornets’ last eight games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Charlotte Hornets Player Facts

  • Kon Knueppel ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.5) this season.
  • LaMelo Ball ranks 2nd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (89.8%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Daniel Gafford ranks 11th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
  • Max Christie ranks 16th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hornets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.2).
  • The Hornets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.4).
  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.0%).
  • The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).

Hornets vs Mavericks Injury Report

The Hornets will be without Coby White.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Marvin Bagley, Naji Marshall, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg, and Dereck Lively II. Caleb Martin and Klay Thompson are questionable.

Hornets vs Mavericks Prediction

I was high on the Hornets before the season started and they’re finally starting to figure out how to win games. The Hornets have also covered 9 of their last 10 games and are 39-22 ATS on the season. The Mavs are piling up the losses and that injury report is disgusting. I’m not at the point where I think the Hornets are one of the best teams in the league and want to lay double-digit numbers. However, these are two teams heading in different directions. I have to keep backing the Hornets, who have become a cash cow in the NBA.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets -12.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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