Hornets vs Heat Prediction 3/6/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets meet Friday in NBA action at the Spectrum Center. Here’s a Hornets vs. Heat prediction. This article will include a Hornets vs. Heat pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Rockets and Nets, and they play the Pistons next. The Heat have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 22.5 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.2 points and 3.5 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets beat the Mavs and Celtics, and they play the Suns next. The Hornets have won 16 of their last 19 games.

The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 116 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 47 percent shooting. Brandon Miller is averaging 21 points and 3.4 assists, while Kon Knueppel is averaging 19.3 points and 5.5 rebounds. LaMelo Ball is the third double-digit scorer, and Miles Bridges is dishing out 3.4 assists. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

• The Hornets have won each of their last eight games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost 11 of their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Hornets have covered the spread in each of their last nine games.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at Spectrum Center.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Hornets.
• The Hornets have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last seven night games at Spectrum Center following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Hornets’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Hornets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.4).
• The Hornets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (20.7).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.3%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (43.6).

Hornets vs Heat Injury Report

Tidjane Salaun is out for the Hornets.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, and Nikola Jović.

Hornets vs Heat Prediction

The Heat are quietly 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games, but now they’re on the end of a back to back and the competition improves. We’ll see how real this run is from the Heat. We’ve been on the Hornets since the start of the season and this run is easily one of the best in franchise history. The Hornets are also a league-best 41-22 ATS on the season. The Heat have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Hornets, but I’m not stepping in front of this group. Give me the Hornets to keep the train rolling.