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Iowa State vs Arizona State Prediction 3/11/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Arizona State (17-15) vs. Iowa State (25-6)
March 11, 2026 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: Iowa State -11.5; Over/Under: 147.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Iowa State vs Arizona State prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 11th at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones are 25-6 (12-6) this season after they defeated Arizona State by a score of 86-65 in their last game. Iowa State trailed 41-37 at halftime, but they outscored ASU by a total of 49-24 in the second half for the win. The Cyclones shot 44% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Joshua Jefferson led Iowa State with 16 points and seven rebounds, while Tamin Lipsey added 16 points and six assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Iowa State lost to Arizona by a score of 73-57 and Texas Tech by a score of 82-73. The Cyclones have scored 81.8 points per game with 35.5 rebounds and 17.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 65.7 points against per game this season. Milan Momcilovic is averaging 17.0 points and 3.1 rebounds per game, while Joshua Jefferson is averaging 16.6 points and 7.4 rebounds per game for the Cyclones. Iowa State is shooting 48.8% from the field, 68.0% on free throws, and 38.3% on three pointers this season. 

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 17-15 (7-11) this year after they defeated Baylor by a score of 83-79 in their last game. Arizona State led 44-35 at halftime, but they were outscored 44-39 in the second half in the win. The Sun Devils shot 57% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 59% on free throws in the game. Anthony Johnson led ASU with 19 points and six rebounds, while Santiago Trouet added 13 points and nine rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Arizona State lost to Iowa State by a score of 86-65, but did beat Kansas by a score of 70-60 before that. The Sun Devils have scored 77.2 points per game with 33.3 rebounds and 14.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.9 points against per game this season. Maurice Odum is averaging 17.1 points and 5.9 assists per game, while Massamba Diop is averaging 13.9 points and 5.9 rebounds per game for the Sun Devils. Arizona State is shooting 44.6% from the field, 75.6% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

  • Arizona State has lost each of its last 14 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Iowa State has won each of its last 11 Wednesday games.
  • Iowa State has won the first half in each of its last eight games as an AP-ranked team at T-Mobile Center.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • Arizona State has won five of its last six games played at neutral venues.
  • Arizona State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Arizona State’s last seven games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 156+ points.
  • Six of Iowa State’s last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Iowa State ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.0).
  • Iowa State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.7).
  • Arizona State ranks T30th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.7).
  • Arizona State ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.5).

Iowa State vs Arizona State Prediction 

These two teams played each other in the last game of the regular season, which saw Iowa State have a huge second half to run away with the game. The Cyclones are shooting 49% from the field, but they have lost three of their last five games. ASU is shooting 45% from the field and they have allowed 79+ in three of their last five. I think Arizona State will start with plenty of confidence, but their defense is simply not good enough. Take Iowa State to cover here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Iowa State -11.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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