Seattle Mariners vs NY Yankees Prediction 3/30/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Yankees (3-0) vs. Seattle Mariners (2-2)
March 30, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -112 / NY Yankees -108; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Yankees and the Seattle Mariners meet Monday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Yankees will send out Ryan Weathers for the start here and Weathers was 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 37 strikeouts last season. This will be Weathers’ second career start against the Mariners. Luis Castillo will get the nod for the Mariners here and was 11-8 with a 3.54 ERA and 162 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Castillo is 1-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 27 strikeouts.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on their 3-1 win over the Giants in Saturday’s finale to start the year at 3-0. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Yankees Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Giancarlo Stanton leads the Yankees with 6 hits including a home run and two RBIs while Jose Caballero has 3 hits with an RBI as well. Austin Wells, Cody Bellinger has 4 hits and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a pair of hits while Aaron Judge has 2 home runs and 3 RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt’s added a double while Trent Grisham has a triple and 2 RBIs and Ryan McMahon and Ben Rice each have 2 RBIs as well on the year.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Yankees at T-Mobile Park following a win.
- The Yankees have won 10 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 Monday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Giancarlo Stanton ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (6) this season.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their 8-0 win over Cleveland in Sunday’s series finale to improve to 2-2 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a game against the Los Angeles Angels.
Mariners Earn Split To Start Year
Brendan Donovan has a team-high 6 hits with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs while Luke Raley has 4 hits with a team-high 3 homers and 6 RBIs this season. Cal Raleigh’s added a pair of hits with a double and an RBI but also has a team-high 10 strikeouts. Cole Young’s chipped in a home run and 3 RBIs as well while Randy Arozarena has 2 doubles and Leo Rivas has a triple this season. Dominic Canzone also has a pair of home runs on the year so far.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The home team has won four of the last five games between the Yankees and Mariners.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last three games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Yankees and Mariners.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in five of the Mariners’ last six home games against AL East opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four games against the Yankees.
- Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Monday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games.
- Brendan Donovan ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (6) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction
I’m on the Yankees here. I know Seattle is at home but they’re coming off of Sunday night baseball and the Yankees had the extra day of rest on Sunday. Weathers is a guy the Yankees went out to get so I’m sure they think highly of him, and frankly I trust the Yankees to come up with the bigger hits when the time comes. Give me New York.