Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 4/1/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 1st at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-3 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-13 and 3-2. In their game two win, Philadelphia scored three runs in the first five innings, but went scoreless the rest of the way in the low scoring win. The Phillies recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Garcia, Harper, and Schwarber, who all had one RBI. Painter allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save in the ninth. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 5.67 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .273 opponent batting average, while they have scored 17 runs with a .198 batting average and a .288 on base percentage. Alec Bohm has led the Phillies with one home run and four RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has added two home runs and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.50 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 3-2 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday night. Washington cut the deficit to 3-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Nationals recorded eight hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Wood, who went 1-5 with one RBI in the game. Poulin opened the game in the first, while Littell picked up the loss by allowing six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings in bulk relief. 

This season, Washington has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .212 opponent batting average, while they have scored 33 runs with a .285 batting average and a .347 on base percentage. Joey Wiemer has led the Nationals with two home runs and four RBIs, while Keibert Ruiz has added one home run and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 3.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in three of the Nationals’ last four games at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last four Wednesday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances after playing the previous day.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Tuesday night, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three straight games. The Phillies are starting Sanchez, who pitched six great innings in his first outing. Washington has won two of their last three games and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their first five. The Nationals are going with Cavalli, who I don’t trust against this lineup. Take the Phillies by at least two runs here.