Golden State Warriors (37-45) vs. Phoenix Suns (45-37)
April 17, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns -2.5; Over/Under: 218.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Suns play host to the Golden State Warriors in the NBA Play-In Tournament game at the Mortgage Matchup Center on Friday night. Here’s a Suns vs. Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Suns vs. Warriors Pick.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Phoenix Suns haven’t been at their best lately, as they stumbled their way into the postseason and they are now battling for their lives after falling just short to the Trail Blazers in a 114-110 home defeat on Tuesday. Jalen Green led the team with 35 points on 14 of 29 shooting; Devin Booker added 22 points, while Dillon Brooks tallied 20 points with seven rebounds and four steals. As a team, the Suns shot 49 percent from the field and nine of 25 from the 3-point line as they struggled to make their perimeter shots and did a decent job just to keep the scores close. The Suns were even good enough to take an 11-point lead thanks to a real spark from Brooks on both ends of the floor, but it still wasn’t enough to hold off the Trail Blazers, who played great defense in the clutch to snatch the game away.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors were really in poor form heading into the postseason, but they are suddenly brimming with confidence after taking down the Clippers in a 126-121 road win on Wednesday. Stephen Curry led the team with 35 points on 12 of 23 shooting; Gui Santos and Kristaps Porzingis each scored 20 points, while Brandin Podziemski chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Warriors shot a healthy 57 percent from the field and 19 of 41 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and scored just 22 points in the first quarter, seeing them trailing for most of the contest before they caught fire with 43 points in the fourth quarter to secure the gritty win on the road. Draymond Green scored just seven points but was impactful as he tallied six rebounds, nine assists and four steals while defending the Clippers’ Kawhi Leonard down the stretch.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Suns have won each of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games following a win.
- The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Warriors following a home loss.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Suns’ last three games.
- The Suns have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Suns’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Suns’ last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last three games against the Suns following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Phoenix Suns Player Facts
- Devin Booker has scored 30+ points in three consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Jordan Goodwin ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.4) this season.
- Draymond Green is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.5) and assists (5.5) per game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Suns have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season—led by 18 points vs. the Hawks on November 16.
- The Suns rank 30th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (25.8).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.1).
- The Warriors rank T2nd in the league for steals per game this season (9.7).
Suns vs Warriors Prediction
The Suns are still keeping an eye on Grayson Allen, who is questionable with a hamstring injury, while the Warriors have ruled out Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, LJ Cryer and Quinten Post. These teams met four times in the regular season and it was the Warriors who won the series by 3-1 but the last three meetings have been decided by four points or less, so we could be in for another close one here. The Suns could get a major boost if Allen can return to the lineup, but I am sticking with Curry and the Warriors to escape with the upset win in this spot.
