Marlins vs Brewers Prediction 4/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 17th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 9-10 this season after they lost two out of three against the Braves by scores of 10-4, 5-6, and 3-6. In game three, Miami fell behind in the second inning and they never recovered, but they did score three times in the eighth to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Paddack allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Nardi allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Miami lost all three against the Tigers and split four games with the Reds. 

This season, Miami has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 88 runs with a .259 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with four home runs and 18 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this season. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-8 this year after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 7-9, 2-1, and 2-1. In game three, Milwaukee tied the game at one in the fourth and scored the winning run in the seventh in the low scoring victory. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Rengifo and Ortiz, who both had one RBI. Sproat allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings, while Ashby picked up the win and Zerpa got the save. Prior to that series, Milwaukee lost all three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 91 runs with a .238 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with five home runs and 13 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added three home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Brewers have lost each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
• The home team has won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Marlins’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four road games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (7).
• The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (25).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (27).
• The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (89).

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have allowed at least six runs in all four of those losses. The Marlins are 7-3 at home this year, while the Brewers are 3-3 on the road. Milwaukee has won two in a row, but they have struggled over the last three or four series. The Brewers have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games, but their pitching staff bailed them out in their last two. We don’t know who is starting for Milwaukee yet, but Junk has been solid in his two home starts. Take the Marlins here.