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Braves vs Tigers Prediction 4/28/26 MLB Picks Today

Detroit Tigers (15-14) vs. Atlanta Braves (20-9)
April 28, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -122 / Detroit Tigers 102; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 28th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 20-9 this season after they won two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 5-3, 5-8, and 6-2. In game three, Atlanta scored six runs in the first two innings, which was enough to get the easy win. The Braves recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Olson, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Sale allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Suarez pitched a scoreless ninth. Prior to that series, Atlanta won three out of four against the Nationals and all three against the Phillies. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.13 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and a .211 opponent batting average, while they have scored 166 runs with a .274 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Drake Baldwin has led the Braves with seven home runs and 25 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added eight home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 15-14 this year after they lost two out of three against the Reds by scores of 8-9, 2-9, and 8-3. In game three, Detroit trailed 3-2 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last six runs to pull away with the win. The Tigers recorded 12 hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Carpenter, Lee, and Torres, who all had two RBIs in the game. Montero allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Hurter picked up the win. Prior to that series, Detroit won two out of three against the Brewers and split four games with the Red Sox. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 132 runs with a .253 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with five home runs and 19 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added three home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 2-1 with a 2.51 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last eight games against the Tigers.
  • The Tigers have lost each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Tigers.
  • The Braves have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Tigers.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Tigers.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Braves have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a home win.
  • The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Tigers and Braves.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday home games.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have lost the first inning in five of their last six night games.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday home games.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Braves’ last six games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight night games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 home games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last five games.
  • Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 games against NL opponents.
  • Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Braves vs Tigers Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup playing some of the best baseball in the league and they have the best team ERA in baseball as well. The Braves are 10-5 at home this year, while the Tigers are 5-12 on the road. Detroit was able to avoid the sweep on Sunday, but they allowed 18 runs in the first two games of that series. The Tigers are starting Mize, who has allowed two earned runs over his last 18.1 innings, while Perez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. This is a solid pitching matchup, but Detroit struggles on the road and Atlanta is red hot. Take the Braves here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Braves ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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