Mets vs Nationals Prediction 4/28/26 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 13-16 on the year and play the Brewers and Twins next. The Washington Nationals are batting .243 on the season and have a .325 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 5.24 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 32 hits and 14 RBI while James Wood and CJ Abrams have combined for 53 hits and 42 RBI.

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. Littell is 0-1 with a 1.38 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 9-19 on the year and play the Angels and Rockies next. The New York Mets are batting. 226 on the season, have a .288 OBP, and have a .337 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 27 hits and 12 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Marcus Semien have combined for 43 hits and 13 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-1 with a 1.76 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine night games against the Mets following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Nationals following a home loss.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Citi Field against NL East opponents.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have won nine of the Mets’ last 11 games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Mets’ last 13 games at Citi Field.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Mets.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last four night games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 20 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Clay Holmes ranks T8th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.10) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
• Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (92).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (86).
• The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (48).
• The Nationals rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (31).

Mets vs Nationals Prediction

The Mets should be favored at home, as they’re the more talented team. Littell has also been a mess through 25 innings with a 7.56 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Holmes has shined through 30 frames with a 2.10 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. However, you’re nuts if you think I’m laying juice with a Mets team that has two wins in the last 20 days. Only the Phillies have lost MLB bettors more money this season than the Mets. The Nationals lack proven talent, but they compete and they’ve also been profitable. This is an easy one in terms of value. Give me the Nats and the plus money.