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Wild vs Avalanche Prediction 5/13/26 NHL Picks Today

Minnesota Wild (46-24-12) vs. Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11)
May 13, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Avalanche -205 / Minnesota Wild 170; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Wild vs Avalanche Prediction for Game 5 of this NHL Western Conference Semifinal on Wednesday, May 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche finished the regular season with 121 points with a 55-16-11 record and were placed 1st in the Central Division. They have a 26-9-6 home record and are coming off a 5-2 road win over the Wild. Their previous three games were a 1-5 road, a 5-2 home win and a 9-6 home win over the Wild.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.63 goals per game and are scoring 17.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.40 goals per game and are killing 84.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 127 points and 53 goals, adding a team-high 74 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 31-6-6 record, with 2.02 GAA and .921 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 23-10-2 record, with 2.51 GAA and .904 SV%.

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild finished the regular season with 104 points with a 46-24-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Central Division. They have a 23-14-4 road record and are coming off a 2-5 home loss to the Avalanche. Their previous three games were a 5-1 home win, a 2-5 road loss, and a 6-9 road loss to the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.27 goals per game and are scoring 25.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 79.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 89 points and 45 goals, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 48. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 28-15-6 record, with 2.69 GAA and .904 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 18-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .916 SV%.

Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: May 13, 2026

 

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won 10 of their last 11 games.
  • The Wild have lost each of their last six night games at Ball Arena following a loss.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games at Ball Arena following a loss.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last five games following a road win.
  • The Wild have lost the third period in each of their last six night games at Ball Arena following a loss.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The Wild have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Avalanche have lost three of their last four Wednesday games as home favorites.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Wild have won the third period in six of their last seven games at Ball Arena when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Wild’s last five night games at Ball Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last seven night games between the Wild and Avalanche at Ball Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last seven night games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last 14 games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last four home games against Central Division opponents.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

  • Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven home appearances against the Wild.
  • Nathan MacKinnon has scored a goal in each of the Avalanche’s last eight playoff games against Central Division opponents.
  • Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (53) this season.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored at least one goal in four of the Wild’s last five Game 5s of a playoff series.
  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 12 Wednesday night road appearances.
  • Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.63).
  • The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.19%).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).

Wild vs Avalanche Prediction

The Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Wild and have won their last three meetings in Colorado. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Wild vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -200 home favorites. The Avalanche bounced back after their first defeat of the playoffs big time, with a 5-2 road win in Minnesota and are now one win away from the conference finals. They are back on home ice, where they dominated Minnesota in game one and two, outscoring them by 14-8 goals and have been undefeated at home in the playoffs. I expect another win for the home team, so take the Avalanche on the moneyline to finish this series and advance to the Western Conference Finals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML

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