Braves vs Red Sox Prediction 5/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 17th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 31-15 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 2-3. In game two, Atlanta led 2-1 in the later innings, but they allowed two runs in the eighth for the loss. The Braves recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baldwin, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Elder allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 8.0 innings for the loss, while Perez pitched the ninth. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Cubs and two out of three against the Dodgers. 

This season, Atlanta has a 2.99 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while they have scored 242 runs with a .265 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 14 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 36 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 2-1 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 19-26 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-2 last night. Boston tied the game at one in the fourth inning and they scored twice in the eighth to escape with the low scoring win. The Red Sox recorded seven hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Contreras, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Tolle allowed four hits and two earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save. Prior to this series, Boston lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Boston has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 166 runs with a .234 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with nine home runs and 25 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added four home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 2-4 with a 6.46 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 39.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games at Truist Park following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games following a win.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Red Sox and Braves.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven road games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against teams that held a losing record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 road games against NL East opponents.
• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last seven road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

Braves vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston was able to get a comeback win on Saturday to even the series, but they have scored three runs or fewer in five straight games. The Red Sox are 11-12 on the road this year, while the Braves are 15-8 at home. Atlanta has dropped two of their last three games and they have scored just five runs in those three games. The Braves are starting Holmes, who has allowed 2, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts, while Bello has allowed 1, 1, 4, 8, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts. I don’t trust Bello at all, so give me the Braves -1.5 here.