Guardians vs Mariners Prediction 6/26/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 26th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 42-39 this year after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 5-6, 1-2, and 4-3. In game three, Cleveland blew a 3-1 lead in the eighth inning, but they won in the 10th. The Guardians recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Watson, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Bibee allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Smith blew the save and Armstrong got the win. Prior to that series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 320 runs with a .228 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Joey Cantillo, who is 6-3 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this year. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 41-41 this season after they lost two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 3-2, 1-11, and 1-5. In game three, Seattle cut the deficit to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Mariners recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Crawford, who went 1-5 with one RBI. Miller allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Hoppe allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Seattle lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Orioles before that. 

This season, Seattle has a 3.71 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 331 runs with a .231 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez has led the Mariners with 14 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Luke Raley has added 14 home runs and 35 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who is 2-6 with a 5.22 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last five night games following an extra innings win.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games after going to extra innings.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against AL West opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Mariners have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Guardians following a loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games at Progressive Field.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against the Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mariners’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mariners’ last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Manzardo has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three home games against the Mariners.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight home games against the Mariners.
• Joey Cantillo has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Luis Castillo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luke Raley has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games against the Guardians.
• Randy Arozarena ranks T6th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.366).
• The Guardians rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (320).
• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (209).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (102).

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction

Cleveland was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Wednesday, but they have lost three of their last four games. The Guardians are 19-17 at home this year, while the Mariners are 19-22 on the road. Seattle has lost three of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in five straight. The Mariners are starting Castillo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Cantillo has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. Take the over here.