Tigers vs Astros Prediction 6/27/26 MLB Picks Today
Houston Astros (40-44) vs. Detroit Tigers (35-47)
June 27, 2026 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -131 / Houston Astros 109; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 27th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 35-47 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-2 and 8-0. In game two, Detroit scored three runs in the third inning and never looked back in the shutout win. The Tigers recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Outman, who went 1-2 with one home run and three RBIs. Montero allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while De Jesus threw the last two innings. Prior to this series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the White Sox before that.
This season, Detroit has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 333 runs with a .234 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Framber Valdez, who is 4-5 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 89.2 innings pitched this year.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 40-44 this season after they lost game two by a score of 0-8 on Friday night. Houston had a few chances to get runs, but couldn’t find a timely hit in the loss. The Astros recorded five hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Altuve, who went 2-3 in the game. Arrighetti allowed five hits and eight earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Pearson threw three innings in relief. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Guardians.
This season, Houston has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 372 runs with a .241 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 25 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Kai-Wei Teng, who is 4-6 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 60.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won four of their last five home games against the Astros.
- The Astros have lost five of their last six games against the Tigers following a loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in four of their last five games following a home win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL Central opponents.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Tigers’ last 11 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Astros’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine games at Comerica Park.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the last eight day games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Dillon Dingler has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two day games.
- Framber Valdez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 day games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Kai-Wei Teng has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as underdogs.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last four Saturday games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (29).
- The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (16).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (28).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (365).
Tigers vs Astros Prediction
Detroit snapped their small losing streak with a blowout win on Friday night and they have allowed two total runs in their last two games. The Tigers are 23-19 at home this year, while the Astros are 20-23 on the road. Houston has won three of their last four games, but they have scored just five runs in their last three. The Astros are starting Teng, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four outings, while Valdez has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. Take the Tigers to win again.