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Storm vs Fire Prediction 7-4-26 WNBA Picks

Storm vs Fire
July 4, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Storm -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Portland Fire and Seattle Storm meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Climate Pledge Arena. Here’s a Storm vs Fire Prediction. This article will include a Storm vs Fire Pick.

Portland Fire Betting Preview

The Portland Fire needs a win after losing 8 of its last 11 games. The Fire have lost 5 straight road games.

The Portland Fire is averaging 84.7 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 92.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Carla Leite is averaging 15.1 points and 5.7 assists, while Bridget Carleton is averaging 13.8 points and 3.4 rebounds. Megan Gustafson is the third double-digit scorer, and Sarah Ashlee Barker is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Portland Fire are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Fire is allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 29 rebounds per game.

Seattle Storm Betting Preview

The Seattle Storm need a win after losing 12 of their last 14 games. The Seattle Storm have won their last 2 home games.

The Seattle Storm are averaging 80.4 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 86.4 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Dominique Malonga is averaging 16.5 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Natisha Hiedeman is averaging 15.5 points and 2.4 rebounds. Flau’jae Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Awa Fam is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Seattle Storm are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Seattle Storm are allowing 30.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Seattle Storm will win

  • The home team has won seven of the Fire’s last eight games.
  • The Fire have lost each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The home team has covered the spread in 12 of the Storm’s last 13 games.
  • The Fire have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as road underdogs.

Why the Portland Fire will win

  • The Storm have lost each of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Storm have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Storm’s last eight games at Climate Pledge Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Fire’s last four road games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Storm’s last six games as home favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

  • Natisha Hiedeman is one of only three players in the league to have made 5+ threes in consecutive games this season.
  • Dominique Malonga ranks 7th in the league for second-chance points (54) this season.

Portland Fire Player Facts

  • Megan Gustafson is one of only two players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
  • Carla Leite is one of only four qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (15.1) and assists (5.7) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Storm rank 14th for field goal percentage this season (42.8%).
  • The Seattle Storm rank 1st for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.5%).
  • The Portland Fire rank 14th for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.3).
  • The Portland Fire rank 14th for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.6).

Storm vs Fire Injury Report

Taina Mair is out for the Storm due to a coach’s decision.

Karlie Samuelson is listed as out for the Fire due to a finger injury.

Storm vs Fire Prediction

Two teams you don’t want to make a habit of backing. However, the Storm have shown more signs of life lately, and they’re at home, where 4 of their 5 wins have come this season. The Fire can’t win on the road, and their defensive effort gets worse by the week. Also, the Storm are as healthy as they’ve been all season with the return of Ezi Magbegor. The Storm are simply in much better shape form-wise, they’re healthy for the first time all season, and they’re at home. There are no excuses for Seattle in this spot. I’ll lay the soft number.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Storm -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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