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St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7/9/26 MLB Picks Today

Milwaukee Brewers (58-34) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (48-43)
July 9, 2026 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals +113 / Milwaukee Brewers -136; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Thursday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Logan Henderson for the start here and Henderson is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Andre Pallante will start for St. Louis and is 10-5 with a 3.60 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-1 loss at the hands of the Cardinals on Wednesday to sit at 58-34 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Brewers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

William Contreras has 95 hits with 12 doubles, 9 home runs and 51 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 88 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 12 homers and 51 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 72 hits with 13 doubles, 16 home runs and 54 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 61 hits with 3 home runs and 31 RBIs this season. Luis Rengifo’s added 38 hits with 9 doubles and 19 RBIs and Garrett Mitchell has 64 hits with 17 doubles and 42 RBIs this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to add on to their win over Milwaukee from Wednesday to sit at 48-43 this season. After this series, the Cardinals will take on the Atlanta Braves in a series at home.

Cardinals End Four-Game Slide

Jordan Walker leads the Cardinals with 101 hits, 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 70 RBIs while Alec Burleson has 96 hits with 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 66 RBIs. JJ Wetherholt has 89 hits with 13 home runs and 36 RBIs while Ivan Herrera has 83 hits with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. Nolan Gorman has 39 hits with 7 home runs and 26 RBIs this season. Masyn Winn’s added 76 hits with 12 doubles and 38 RBIs and Nathan Church has 56 hits with 8 home runs and 28 RBIs this season.

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 9, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Andre Pallante      Record this season: 10-5      ERA: 3.60
  • Home Record: 4-5
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 0-3

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Brewers have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Cardinals have won five of their last six Thursday night games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last six games.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Brewers at Busch Stadium.
  • The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 2.74
  • Road Record: 1-1
  • Last 5 against Cardinals: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cardinals have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Brewers at Busch Stadium following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a win.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Thursday games against the Cardinals.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against the Cardinals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Cardinals’ last four games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last eight Thursday games against National League opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six Thursday games against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Andre Pallante has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games.
  • Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances.
  • Andre Pallante has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
  • Nelson Velazquez has hit a home run in five of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
  • Andre Pallante ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (10) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Logan Henderson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
  • Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (683).
  • The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (702).
  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.32).
  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (660).

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. The Brewers dropped Wednesday’s matchup but they’ve been the team in the far better run of form in recent weeks and I’m not really looking to step in front of that. The Cardinals just continue to be hit or miss and I think the Brew Crew clean cup with a win here. Give me the Brewers.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -136

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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