Rays vs Mariners Prediction 7/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays meet Saturday in MLB action at Tropicana Field. Here’s a Rays vs Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 47-48 on the year and play the Giants and Reds next. The Seattle Mariners are batting. 230 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .379 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Randy Arozarena leads the Seattle Mariners with 91 hits and 42 RBI, while Julio Rodriguez and Josh Naylor have combined for 196 hits and 76 RBI.

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 7-5 with a 3.19 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. Gilbert is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 55-37 on the year and play the Red Sox and Blue Jays next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .259 on the season, have a .334 OBP, and have a .401 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 108 hits and 55 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 195 hits and 120 RBI.

Griffin Jax gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 4-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Jax is 2-2 with a 7.56 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The home team has won each of the last eight games between the Mariners and Rays.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last six road games.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Mariners and Rays.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at Tropicana Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have won the first inning in four of their last five day games at Tropicana Field.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Rays have lost nine of their last 12 games as favorites against AL West opponents following a home win.
• The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Mariners and Rays.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Mariners and Rays has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mariners’ last seven games as underdogs against the Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last nine games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Rays’ last six games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last five games against AL West opponents.
• Griffin Jax has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
• Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 home games against AL West opponents.
• Griffin Jax has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Rays as favorites.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cole Young has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last two games as underdogs.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.

Rays vs Mariners Prediction

Even with Jax having a solid season, the Mariners have the edge with Gilbert on the mound with his 3.19 ERA and 0.95 WHIP through 107.1 innings. Jax also hasn’t pitched well against the Mariners in his career, and Seattle’s current hitters are batting .378 with a .489 OBP in 37 at-bats. However, the Rays continue to win games, and they’ve been ridiculously good at home this season. It’s one of those spots where I throw the pitching matchup out the window and just side with a team that finds ways to get it done. Give me the Rays.