Braves vs Orioles Prediction 7/24/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, July 24^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 50-53 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 28-25 home record and are coming off a 5-1 road win against the Red Sox. They will face the Tigers and the Phillies next.

The Baltimore Orioles have a .239 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .251 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 66, adding a team-high 21 home runs.

Trevor Rogers (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 6-7 record, 4.28 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 60-42 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 28-22 away record and are coming off a 6-5 home win against the Padres. They will face the Phillies and the Nationals next.

The Atlanta Braves have a .250 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .419 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 61, while Matt Olson adds a team-high 26 home runs.

Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 6-4 record, 3.70 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: July 24, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers      Record this season: 6-7      ERA: 4.28
• Home Record: 3-5
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-3

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have won each of their last four home games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Braves.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday games as favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes      Record this season: 6-4      ERA: 3.70
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Orioles: 0-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Braves and Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last six games.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Braves and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as favorites.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Braves’ last six games as underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in three of the Orioles’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL opponents.
• Taylor Ward ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Drake Baldwin has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Grant Holmes has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Grant Holmes has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
• Matt Olson ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (946).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (946).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (136).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (136).

Braves vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Braves, having won two of their last three meetings in Baltimore.

In this Braves vs Orioles Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -120 home favorites. I like the Orioles in this one with a red-hot Trevor Rogers on the mound, who has given up just three runs across his last five starts. The Orioles had seven consecutive wins before facing the hottest team in baseball in the Red Sox and they also had a day off yesterday. Baltimore has the best bullpen ERA after the break and Atlanta is weaker against left-handed pitching, so take the Orioles on the moneyline at home in this one.