MLB Picks

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction 8/4/26 MLB Picks Today

Chicago White Sox (59-52) vs. Boston Red Sox (60-51)
August 4, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -136 / Chicago White Sox 113; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 4th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 60-51 this year after they swept the Dodgers by scores of 9-4, 3-2, and 8-4. In game three, Boston trailed 3-2 in the second inning, but they scored the next four runs to pull away with the win. The Red Sox recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Yoshida, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bennett allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Slaten and Guerrero picked up holds. Prior to that series, Boston won three out of four against the Athletics and two out of three against the Blue Jays. 

This season, Boston has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 474 runs with a .244 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 23 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 14 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Patrick Sandoval, who is 0-0 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 59-52 this season after they won two out of three against the Rays by scores of 6-1, 0-1, and 9-1. In game three, Chicago scored the first nine runs in the game, but allowed a run in the ninth to lose the shutout. The White Sox recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Pereira, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Kay allowed seven hits and zero earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Davitt allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Chicago split four games with the Yankees and lost two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 531 runs with a .238 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 25 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 24 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Davis Martin, who is 9-5 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 117.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last 13 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 Tuesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL Central opponents.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against the Red Sox following a win.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Red Sox’s last three games.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The White Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the White Sox’s last five road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last six night games at Fenway Park.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the White Sox’s last five games as road underdogs.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games.
  • Romy Gonzalez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Willson Contreras ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Davis Martin has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Munetaka Murakami has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the White Sox as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Colson Montgomery ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (414).
  • The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.53).
  • The White Sox rank 5th in the league for home runs this season (146).
  • The White Sox rank 25th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1002).

Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after an incredible sweep of the Dodgers over the weekend and they continue to be red hot over the last month. The Red Sox are 25-29 at home this year, while the White Sox are 25-31 on the road. Chicago has won four of their last five games and they have allowed one run in four straight. The White Sox are starting Martin, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Sandoval has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his four outings. Take the Red Sox here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Sox ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button