WNBA Picks

Sun vs Liberty Prediction 8-15-26 WNBA Picks

Sun vs Liberty
August 15, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sun +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Here’s a Sun vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Sun vs Liberty Pick.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 8 of their last 10 games. The Liberty have lost 7 of their last 10 road games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 90.6 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 87.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 21 points and 3.2 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 16 points and 4 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 85.1 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game.

Connecticut Sun Betting Preview

The Connecticut Sun need a win to rebound from this awful 8-24 record. The Sun have lost 29 of their last 38 regular-season games.

The Connecticut Sun are averaging 79.3 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 87.4 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 13.2 points and 2.5 assists, while Leila Lacan is averaging 11.9 points and 2 rebounds. Olivia Nelson-Ododa is grabbing 6 rebounds, and Aaliyah Edwards is dishing out 0.9 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 30.1 percent from beyond the arc and 69.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Connecticut Sun is allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 33 rebounds per game.

Why the Connecticut Sun will win

  • The home team has won six of the Liberty’s last seven games.
  • The Liberty have lost four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Sun have covered the spread in seven of their last eight days’ games following a home loss.

Why the New York Liberty will win

  • The Sun have lost 14 of their last 15 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Liberty have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Sun have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Liberty have covered the spread in four of their last five road games against the Sun following a home win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Liberty’s last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Sun’s last seven day games at Mohegan Sun Arena following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Connecticut Sun Player Facts

  • Olivia Nelson-Ododa is one of only nine players to have made 6+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker ranks 11th amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for assists per game (3.3) this season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

  • Breanna Stewart has recorded 1+ steals + blocks in each of her last 30 games – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Pauline Astier ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (65.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for field goal percentage this season (43.0%).
  • The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for opponent free throws made per game this season (19.3).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.0%).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.7).

Sun vs Liberty Injury Report

Brittney Griner is questionable for the Sun with a knee injury. Aaliyah Edwards is questionable with an ankle injury.

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with a foot injury. Sabrina Ionescu is questionable with a foot issue.

Sun vs Liberty Prediction

It’s worth checking the injury report before clicking the button, as there are some key players either out or questionable. The Liberty have been horrible on the road, and I’m not thrilled with how they nearly blew a 26-point fourth-quarter lead against the Sparks. With all of that said, I’ve given the Sun chances here and there in the big underdog role, and they always let me down. The Sun are awful at both ends of the floor, and I’m kind of done giving them looks. The Liberty should win comfortably, but I don’t love that option either. It’s Liberty or pass.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liberty -7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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