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Brewers vs Cubs Prediction 8/31/26 MLB Picks Today

Milwaukee Brewers (85-52) vs. Chicago Cubs (77-60)
August 31, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -114 / Milwaukee Brewers -106; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, August 31st in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 77-60 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 39-29 home record and are coming off a 5-7 home loss against the Reds. They will face the Marlins and the Brewers next.

The Chicago Cubs have a .251 batting average this season, .339 OBP, and .428 slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the Cubs’ best hitter with a .283 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 91 and home runs with 38.

Clay Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, with a 5-6 record, 2.26 ERA, and 1.06 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have an 85-52 record this season and are sitting in 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 38-27 road record and are coming off a 4-7 home loss against the Rangers. They will face the Reds and the Cubs next.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .338 OBP, and .397 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the Brewers’ best hitter with a .281 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 78, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 23 home runs.

Kyle Harrison (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, with a 10-3 record, 2.79 ERA, and 1.12 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: August 31, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Clay Holmes      Record this season: 5-6      ERA: 2.26
  • Home Record: 2-3
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won seven of their last eight home games following a home loss.
  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games following a home loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
  • The Cubs have won the first inning in five of their last six home games.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Harrison      Record this season: 10-3      ERA: 2.79
  • Road Record: 3-2
  • Last 5 against Cubs: 1-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Cubs following a loss.
  • The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Monday games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last four games.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cubs’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 11 of the Cubs’ last 12 night games at Wrigley Field.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Brewers’ last 15 road games against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit at least one home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
  • Clay Holmes has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine night games.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (38) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Harrison has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as underdogs.
  • Cooper Pratt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.
  • Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
  • Jake Bauers ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.388) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (725).
  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (684).
  • The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (126).
  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction

The Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Brewers, but have won their last three meetings in Chicago.

In this Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -110 home favorites. The Cubs played Sunday night baseball and lost at home by the Reds so this is a letdown spot, playing against one of the best teams in baseball. Clay Holmes has been elite for the Cubs, but their bullpen has been terrible in their last 5 games with a 7.47 ERA, as opposed to the Brewers’ 1.61 ERA. On top of that, Kyle Harrison has been in excellent form, having given up one run or less in three of his last four starts, so I will take the Brewers as road dogs in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML

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