Buccaneers vs Browns Prediction 9/20/26 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Buccaneers vs Browns prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 20th at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 2 matchup.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 0-1 this season after they lost to the Bengals by a score of 33-27 last week. Tampa Bay trailed 24-10 at halftime, but they cut the deficit to 33-27 in the fourth, before falling short in the loss. The Buccaneers were out gained by a total of 351-282, went 5-10 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 4-1 in the game. Baker Mayfield threw for 216 yards, while Emeka Egbuka caught five passes for 63 yards. Bucky Irving rushed eight times for 45 yards and one score in the loss. 

The Buccaneers went 8-9 last season and they finished tied for first in the NFC South standings, but lost the tiebreaker with the Panthers. The Buccaneers started the season with a 5-1 record through six games, but they lost eight of the next ten games. TB only defeated the Saints, Cardinals, and Panthers after October 12th last year. The Bucs had a strong offense to start the season, but they scored 20 points or fewer in six of their last seven games. Tampa Bay scored 22.4 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 24.2 points against per game on defense. 

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 0-1 this year after they lost to the Jaguars by a score of 34-10 in their first game. Cleveland trailed 24-0 at halftime, but they did score 10 points in the second half in the ugly loss. The Browns were out gained by a total of 360-272, went 1-8 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Deshaun Watson threw for 205 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Denzel Boston caught two passes for 59 yards and one score. Watson also led the rushing attack with 38 yards on six carries in the game. 

Last year, Cleveland went 5-12 and they finished last in the AFC North standings, which was five games behind the Steelers in first. The Browns started the season with a 17-16 loss to the Bengals and they followed that up with a 41-17 loss to the Ravens. Cleveland had plenty of issues last year and they didn’t win back to back games until the last two weeks of the season. The Browns scored 16.4 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 22.3 points against per game on defense. 

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

• The Buccaneers have won each of their last nine Week 2 games.
• The Browns have lost each of their last seven road games against NFC opponents.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last nine Week 2 games.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games without Shedeur Sanders.
• The Buccaneers have won the first half in each of their last six games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in each of their last six home games against AFC North opponents.

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Buccaneers have lost each of their last eight games against AFC North opponents.
• The Browns have won each of their last four games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
• The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games.
• The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
• The Buccaneers have lost the first half in each of their last six September games against AFC North opponents.
• The Browns have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in three of the Buccaneers’ last four Week 2 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Browns’ last eight road games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Buccaneers’ last six games without Antoine Winfield Jr. have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games at Raymond James Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

• Chris Godwin has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last 14 regular season home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 230+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 19+ completions in each of the Buccaneers’ last five September home games.
• Bucky Irving has scored a touchdown in five of his last six Sunday home appearances.
• Chris Godwin has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 14 regular season home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Baker Mayfield has recorded 19+ rushing yards in six of the Buccaneers’ last seven Sunday games.
• Heading into Week 2, Baker Mayfield has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (82.1% vs Bengals, Week 1).

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with Shedeur Sanders as the starting quarterback.
• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Browns’ last four games following a loss.
• Harold Fannin Jr. has recorded 40+ receiving yards in five of his last six road appearances.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 176+ passing yards in each of his last 12 September road appearances.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 19+ completions in nine of his last 10 September road appearances.
• Quinshon Judkins has recorded 95+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Browns’ last five games against NFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 18+ rushing yards in 12 of his 13 previous September road appearances.
• Heading into Week 2, Denzel Boston ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 2, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage (100.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (228.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (12.5%) this season.

Buccaneers vs Browns Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup after a bad loss to Jacksonville last week and they will look for a better effort here. The Browns were bad on both sides of the ball, but the offense was pathetic with Watson under center. Tampa Bay lost a high scoring game against the Bengals, but they did score 27 points in the loss. I do think Tampa Bay is the much better team and they should win, but this is a lot of points for a defense that looked rough last week. Take Cleveland and the points here.