Fresno State Bulldogs (1-1) vs. San José State Spartans (2-1)
September 19, 2026 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: San José State Spartans 185 / Fresno State Bulldogs -225; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a San Jose State vs Fresno State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 19th at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The San Jose State Spartans are 2-1 this year after they defeated Cal Poly by a score of 30-20 in their last game. San Jose State led 13-6 at halftime, but they were tied 20-20 in the fourth, before scoring the last 10 points for the win. The Spartans out gained Cal Poly by a total of 493-340, went 3-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Luke Weaver threw for 238 yards and three touchdowns, while Carson Clark caught eight passes for 81 yards and two scores. Jabari Bates rushed 27 times for 163 yards in the victory.
Prior to that game, San Jose State defeated Eastern Michigan by a score of 27-21, but lost to USC by a score of 42-26 before that. The Spartans have scored 27.7 points per game with 262.7 passing yards and 164.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.7 points against per game this season. Luke Weaver has thrown for 788 yards, eight touchdowns, and one interception, while Jabari Bates has rushed 58 times for 319 yards this year.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 1-1 this season after they defeated Sacramento State by a score of 49-3 last week. Fresno State led 32-0 at halftime and cruised to the blowout win in the second half. The Bulldogs out gained Sacramento State by a total of 542-262, went 4-8 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Jayden Mandal threw for 316 yards and two touchdowns, while Ezekiel Avit caught two passes for 103 yards and one score. Bryson Donelson rushed 13 times for 102 yards and three touchdowns in the game.
Prior to that win, Fresno State lost to USC by a score of 39-0 in week one. The Bulldogs have scored 24.5 points per game with 213.0 passing yards and 116.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.0 points against per game this season. Jayden Mandal has thrown for 393 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Bryson Donelson has rushed 19 times for 117 yards and three scores this season.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at CEFCU Stadium.
- Fresno State has lost four of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
- San Jose State has covered the spread in each of its last five September games as an underdog.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a road favorite.
- San Jose State has won the first half in six of its last seven September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- San Jose State has won the first quarter in four of its last five September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- San Jose State has lost each of its last 13 games as an underdog in California.
- Fresno State has won each of its last 10 September games as a favorite.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight September games as a home underdog.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of San Jose State’s last four games.
- San Jose State has lost the first half in 16 of its last 17 games as an underdog against teams from California.
- Fresno State has won the first quarter in four of its last five road games against San Jose State.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Fresno State’s last four September games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of San Jose State’s last six September games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Jabari Bates has the most rushing attempts without a rushing touchdown this season (58).
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Bryson Donelson ranks T11th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Jose State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (65).
- San Jose State ranks T135th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (62).
- Fresno State ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.0).
- Fresno State ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (1.5).
San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction
Fresno State comes into this game after blowing out Sacramento State in week two and they are set up for a good season in my opinion. San Jose State has won two in a row, but they were tied with a FCS team late in the game last week. The Spartans have a solid QB with Luke Weaver and they have scored 26+ points in all three of their games. I think both teams will move the ball in this game and I like the over in this one.
