College Football

UConn vs Southern Miss Prediction Football Picks Today 9/19/26

UConn Huskies (1-1) vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (1-1)
September 19, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 136 / UConn Huskies -162; Over/Under: 54.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a UConn vs Southern Miss Prediction for this College Football Week 3 matchup on Saturday, September 19th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Preview

Southern Miss has a 1-1 record this season and are coming off an 8-43 road loss against Auburn. They will face Tulane and Troy next. Offensively, Southern Miss averages 28.5 points per game, ranking 84th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23 points per game, which is 82nd. Southern Miss averages 382 total yards per game (198.5 passing and 183.5 rushing), while allowing 418 total yards per game (223.5 rushing and 194.5 passing).

Ethan Hampton leads Southern Miss with 326 passing yards with 62% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Steven Robinson leads the team in rushing yards with 174, while Mario Sanders II has a team-high 9 receptions for 152 receiving yards. Defensively, Laquan Robinson has a team-high 18 total tackles (12 of them solo), while Jyaire Brown leads the team with one sack.

UConn Huskies Preview

UConn has a 1-1 record this season and are coming off a 14-38 home loss against Maryland. They will face Miami (OH) and Syracuse next. Offensively, UConn averages 35 points per game, ranking 54th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.5 points per game, which is 78th. UConn averages 447 total yards per game (263 passing and 184 rushing), while allowing 342 total yards per game (94.5 rushing and 247.5 passing).

Kalieb Osborne leads UConn with 421 passing yards with 61.7% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. He also leads the team in rushing yards with 120, while Javon Brown has a team-high 6 receptions for 92 receiving yards. Defensively, Zion Paret has a team-high 15 total tackles (9 of them solo), while Anas Luqman leads the team with one sack.

Connecticut Huskies @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends: Week 3

 

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

  • Connecticut has lost each of its last 12 road openers.
  • The underdog has won four of Southern Miss’ last six games.
  • Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road openers.
  • Southern Miss has covered the spread in each of its last four home games in September.
  • Southern Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against non-conference opponents at Carlisle-Faulkner Field at Renasant Stadium.
  • Connecticut has lost the first half in 14 of its last 16 road games in September.

Why the Connecticut Huskies will win

  • Southern Miss has lost 16 of its last 17 games as an underdog.
  • Connecticut has won 18 of its last 20 games as a favorite.
  • Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight September games as an underdog.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in four of Connecticut’s last five games.
  • Southern Miss has lost the first half in 16 of its last 17 games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Southern Miss’ last five home games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of Connecticut’s last seven September games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, Preston Kilgore ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Connecticut Huskies Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 3, Alex Godavitarne ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Southern Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
  • Southern Miss ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (4).
  • Connecticut ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
  • Connecticut ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.0).

UConn vs Southern Miss Prediction

In this UConn vs Southern Miss Prediction, UConn is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Both teams are coming off their first defeats of the season, as they lost badly in their only games played against FBS teams, losing by 24 and 35 points respectively. They also looked terrible offensively in those two games, scoring 14 and 8 points and I don’t expect them to flip the switch and break out offensively. Take the under 54.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 54.5

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