South Florida Bulls (3-0) vs. Bowling Green Falcons (0-3)
September 26, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Bowling Green Falcons +18.5 / South Florida Bulls -18.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The USF Bulls and the Bowling Green Falcons meet in week 4 college football action from Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a USF Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction.
USF Bulls Recap
The USF Bulls come into this game looking to add on to their 59-17 win over Delaware State last time out to sit at 3-0 this season. After this game, USF will head home for a game against Temple.
Bulls Win 3 In A Row
Michael Van Buren Jr. has thrown for 639 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on 66.3% passing while D.J. Crowther Jr. leads South Florida in rushing with 182 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Jaylen Collins Jr. sits behind Crowther Jr. on the ground with 134 yards and 1 TD, while Van Buren Jr. has added 3 rushing touchdowns of his own. Joshua Porter leads the Bulls in receiving with 181 yards on 12 catches along with 2 touchdowns, while Bryson Rodgers trails with 175 yards on 17 catches. On defense, Sam Robinson has a team-high 18 total tackles, while Tavyion Beasley and Tawfiq Thomas have each recorded 1 interception. South Florida’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
Bowling Green Falcons Recap
The Bowling Green Falcons come into this game looking to bounce back from a 55-7 loss at the hands of Iowa State last time out to sit at 0-3 on the year. After this game, Bowling Green will head on the road for a game against Miami Ohio.
Falcons Looking For Upset For First Win
Jay Kastentin has thrown for 443 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 66.7% passing while Austyn Dendy leads Bowling Green in rushing with 126 rushing yards and 1 touchdown so far this season. Nakai Amachree sits behind Dendy on the ground with 67 yards and 0 TDs. Jeremiah Scoby leads the Falcons in receiving with 138 yards on 14 catches, while Winn Sharp trails with 98 yards on 5 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Dorian Pringle has a team-high 32 total tackles, Cashmire Lewis and Kade Kostus each have 1 sack, and JoJo Johnson and Trey Braxton have each recorded 1 interception. Bowling Green’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.
South Florida Bulls @ Bowling Green Falcons Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win
- The underdog has won each of Bowling Green’s last six games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
- South Florida has lost each of its last three games in Ohio.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of Bowling Green’s last eight games at Doyt Perry Stadium.
- South Florida has lost the first half in each of its last four road games in September.
Why the South Florida Bulls will win
- South Florida has won each of its last 21 September games as a favorite.
- Bowling Green has lost nine of its last 10 games in September.
- Bowling Green has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games.
- South Florida has covered the spread in each of its last four games in Ohio.
- South Florida has won the first quarter in each of its last four games in September.
- South Florida has won the first half in each of its last 10 September games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Bowling Green’s last five games in Ohio have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of South Florida’s last six road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Bowling Green Falcons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Dorian Pringle leads the league for tackles (32) this season.
South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, D.J. Crowther ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bowling Green ranks 138th among FBS teams for points per game this season (9.0).
- Bowling Green ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (14.0).
- South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- South Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
USF Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction
I’m on USF in this one. I get the case to be made for the underdog at home as this will be an easier opponent for Bowling Green than they’ve had lately. That being said, USF is still the far better team in this matchup and I think Bowling Green gets routed once again. I need to see it from Bowling Green before I believe it so give me USF.
