Nationals vs Mets Prediction 9/27/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action at Nationals Park. Here’s a Nationals vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Nationals vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 74-87 on the year. The New York Mets are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 162 hits and 76 RBI, while Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have combined for 269 hits and 103 RBI.

Sean Manaea gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 6-7 with a 4.67 ERA and 141 strikeouts this season. Manaea is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA and 46 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 76-85 on the year. The Washington Nationals are batting .246 on the season, with a .321 OBP and a .423 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 149 hits and 103 RBI, while James Wood and Daylen Lile have combined for 278 hits and 165 RBI.

DJ Herz gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Herz is 0-2 with a 8.31 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost eight of their last nine day games following a road win.
• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight day games against the Mets at Nationals Park following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Nationals following a win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at Nationals Park against NL opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven-day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have won nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Nationals at Nationals Park.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Nationals’ last six day games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four-day games against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of Sean Manaea’s last five appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• DJ Herz has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Daylen Lile has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (49) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Bo Bichette has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last five games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 26 of his last 27 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (178).
• The Nationals rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (815).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (208).
• The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).

Nationals vs Mets Prediction

I’m not excited to get behind Herz and just 4 innings, but Manaea isn’t lighting the world on fire through 144.2 innings with a 4.67 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. We’ve also backed the Nationals a lot over the last couple of weeks, and it’s paid off up to this point. Unlike many losing teams that have checked out, the Nats keep showing up and playing hard. Give me the Nationals at home in this pick em spot.