Chicago Bears vs NY Jets Prediction 10/4/26 NFL Picks Today

The New York Jets and the Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action from Soldier Field in Chicago. Here’s a Bears vs Jets prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Jets pick.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The Jets didn’t look too bad over their first couple of games, especially when you consider their struggles over the last several years. Game one was a 23-10 road win over the Tennessee Titans, as New York scored points in every quarter. Game two was the Jets’ first loss. New York was outscored 10-3 in the final quarter and ended up falling 20-17 at home in overtime.

Last weekend versus the Lions, the Jets were able to hang in there and entered the fourth quarter with a 17-10 deficit. New York scored a couple of touchdowns from there but it wasn’t enough in a 31-24 loss. QB Geno Smith had a 31-of-37 line for 321 yards and three scores. Garrett Wilson had 10 catches for 107 yards and a TD in the losing effort.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they had mixed results in their first couple of games. Chicago was a scoring machine in the opener on the road versus the Panthers, bagging 14 points in three different quarters (and 17 in the other) during a 59-37 win. As for game two, the Bears could only muster a field goal in a defensive battle versus the Vikings, falling at home 9-3.

Matched up against the Eagles on Monday, the Bears were only up by a field goal 10-7 by the end of the first half. Chicago followed that up with 17 more points, scoring in every quarter during a 27-7 victory at home. QB Case Keenum was 24-of-34 for 247 yards and two touchdowns. D’Andre Swift led the rush with 20 carries for 84 yards in the winning effort.

New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last eight games without Breece Hall.
• The Bears have won seven of their last eight games at Soldier Field following a home win.
• The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last seven games at Soldier Field following a home win.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
• The Bears have won the first quarter in each of their last three October games against AFC East opponents.
• The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Bears have lost five of their last six October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Bears’ last five games at Soldier Field.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Bears’ last five games at Soldier Field.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Week 4 games.
• The Bears have lost the first half in four of their last five games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last eight Week 4 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Bears’ last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Caleb Williams has recorded 21+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games as favorites following a win.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 239+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games against AFC opponents.
• Rome Odunze has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine home appearances.
• D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of his last seven October appearances.
• Rome Odunze has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of his last nine home appearances.
• Case Keenum has recorded 20+ completions in four of his five previous October home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 4, Kyle Monangai has recorded the longest touchdown reception of the season (61 vs Panthers, Week 1).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 95+ receiving yards in five of the Jets’ last six games against NFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous road appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 247+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
• Garrett Wilson has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Jets’ last six games against NFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against NFC North opponents.
• Heading into Week 4, Breece Hall ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – eight different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Bears – three different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.

Bears vs Jets Prediction

I’ll stick with the Bears. Chicago looked very good at home against the Eagles last weekend, posting 375 yards, 5.4 yards per play, 24 first downs and zero turnovers. If there’s a gripe, it’s the 5-of-13 on third downs. The defense came up with three takeaways while allowing just 248 yards, 14 first downs and 2-of-9 on third-down tries. The Bears look like a playoff team at this point, but we’ll see how it goes.

As for the Jets, they put together a valiant effort on the road against the Lions but fell just short. New York’s offense generated 335 total yards, 5.5 yards per play, 22 first downs and 6-of-12 on third-down tries, which is pretty darn good for a Jets offense lately. The defense held the Lions to 381 yards with 24 first downs and 6.0 yards per play along with no takeaways. New York is looking better these days but I don’t think they’re quite up to the task this week.