Liberty vs Lynx Prediction 9-29-26 WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty meet Tuesday in the WNBA playoffs at the Barclays Center. Here’s a Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs. Lynx Pick.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview

The Minnesota Lynx need a win to save their season and force a game 3 on Thursday. The Minnesota Lynx have won 9 of their last 11 road games.

The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 75 points on 41.8 percent shooting and allowing 91 points on 50.8 percent shooting. Nia Brodie is averaging 16 points and 1 rebound, while Kayla McBride is averaging 14 points and 2 rebounds. Napheesa Collier is the third double-digit scorer, and Olivia Miles is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 52 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 23 rebounds per game.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty look to sweep and pull off an impressive first-round victory. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 home games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 91 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 34 points and 6 assists, while Leonie Fiebich is averaging 16 points and 8 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonquel Jones is grabbing 5 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 52 percent from beyond the arc and 88.9 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Lynx have lost each of their last three playoff games as favorites.
• The Liberty have won seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against the Liberty after losing as favorites.
• The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Lynx have won 15 of their last 17 games following a home loss.
• The Liberty have lost each of their last three games at Barclays Center against teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 night games following a road win.
• The road team has covered the spread in six of the Liberty’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Liberty’s last eight playoff games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Lynx’s last four games against the Liberty following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
• Marine Johannes ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Olivia Miles is one of only three qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (19.8) and assists (6.0) per game this season.
• Courtney Williams ranks 4th in the league for fast break points (112) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.8).
• The Minnesota Lynx are the only team to rank in the top three for both steals and blocks per game this season.
• The Minnesota Lynx have suffered the largest comeback loss after HT this season – led by -15 points vs. the Atlanta Dream on May 9.

Liberty vs Lynx Injury Report

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion.

Anastasiia Olairi Kosu is out for the Lynx due to a foot injury.

Liberty vs Lynx Prediction

I’ve been pounding the table all season for the Lynx as this is the best team in the league. They should win the title, and it should start with a victory here. However, the Lynx also shouldn’t have lost game 1 at home by 16 points. The Liberty got whatever they wanted offensively and frustrated the Lynx.

The Liberty have two wins over the Lynx this month, and neither game was competitive. The Liberty have also won 4 of the last 5 games against the Lynx overall. Maybe there’s something here. For the first time all year, Miles looked like a rookie. If she doesn’t put her fingerprints on this game, the Lynx will go home. The Lynx should win, and I expect them to, but how do we avoid giving up points, given what we just saw and the Liberty’s overall success against the Lynx?