Stars vs Blackhawks Prediction 10/17/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Blackhawks Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 17^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks Preview

The Blackhawks have 6 points this season with a 3-5-0 record and a 3-1-0 home record. They are 4-4 ATS and 6-2 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 overtime home win against the Jets and will face the Canadiens and Panthers next.

Offensively, the Blackhawks are averaging 2.63 goals per game and are scoring 15% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 4.00 goals per game and are killing 73.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Anton Frondell leads the Blackhawks with 6 points, adding a team-high 5 assists, while Frank Nazar leads the team in goals with 3. Spencer Knight is the starting goalie for the Blackhawks, and he has a 3-3-0 record, with 3.52 GAA and .890 SV%. Arvid Soderblom is the backup goalie and he has a 0-2-0 record, with 4.58 GAA and .820 SV%.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 7 points this season with a 3-3-1 record and a 2-1-1 road record. They are 4-3 ATS and 0-7 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 shootout road win against the Avalanche and will face the Bruins and Jets next.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 2.14 goals per game and are scoring 12.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 1.71 goals per game and are killing 87.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 7 points, adding a team-high 5 assists, while Miro Heiskanen leads the team in goals with 3. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 2-2-1 record, with 1.20 GAA and .944 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 1.95 GAA and .925 SV%.

Dallas Stars @ Chicago Blackhawks Betting Trends: October 17, 2026

Why the Chicago Blackhawks will win

• The Stars have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Blackhawks have won each of their last seven home games against the Stars after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Blackhawks have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 17 home games against Central Division opponents.
• The Blackhawks have won the second period in each of their last five home games against Central Division opponents when trailing after the first period.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Blackhawks have lost each of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Stars have won seven of their last eight night games following an overtime win.
• The Blackhawks have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last three games when playing with a rest advantage against Blackhawks.
• The Stars have won the first period in each of their last seven road games after coming off a shootout.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Blackhawks’ last seven home games against the Stars following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight road games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Stars and Blackhawks.

Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Facts

• Connor Bedard has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances against the Stars.
• Connor Bedard has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Ryan Donato has recorded 52 career hits against the Stars – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Matt Duchene has scored the last goal in each of the Stars’ last three road games against the Blackhawks.
• Matt Duchene has scored a goal in each of the Stars’ last four night games at United Center.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight road appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Radek Faksa has scored seven career goals against the Blackhawks – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Chicago Blackhawks rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (4.00).
• The Chicago Blackhawks rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.00%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (1.71).
• The Dallas Stars rank 30th in the league for goals per game this season (2.14).

Stars vs Blackhawks Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Blackhawks are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Chicago.

In this Stars vs Blackhawks Prediction, the Stars are coming as -180 road favorites. The Blackhawks transformed with the return of Connor Bedard and have now won two straight. On the flip side, the Stars have lost two of their last three games and have won only once in their last four visits in Chicago, while having a weaker offense and power play than the Blackhawks. The price is too good to pass up, so I will take a stab with the Blackhawks and the big fat +160 price at home in this one.