Oklahoma City Thunder (1-4) vs. San Antonio Spurs (2-3)
October 20, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -2.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs play host to the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Frost Bank Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs. Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder were primed for another championship run last season as they reeled off 64 wins to secure the top seed overall. They kept their high standards on defense despite a long list of injuries throughout the entire season, and to nobody’s surprise, it was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who led the team with averages of 31.1 points and 6.6 assists per game. Chet Holmgren averaged 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game; Jalen Williams played just 33 games but averaged 17.1 points and 5.5 assists per game, while Ajay Mitchell averaged 13.6 points and 3.6 assists per game.
In the offseason, the Thunder decided to move on from Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, and Aaron Wiggins, which makes them thin at the wing spots, but they already know they have more than enough to contend for a championship if they can just stay healthy long enough.
Check out tonight’s game between the Sixers and the Knicks.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs were able to take the leap and prove themselves as true contenders after racking up 62 wins in the regular season and taking down the Thunder, before they ultimately fell short in a 4-1 NBA Finals loss to the Knicks that was much closer than the final score suggests. Victor Wembanyama led the team with averages of 25.0 points, 11.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 3.1 blocks per game; De’Aaron Fox averaged 18.6 points and 6.2 assists per game, while Stephon Castle averaged 16.7 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 7.4 assists per game.
The Spurs weren’t too busy in the offseason, but they did acquire Tobias Harris to help space out the floor while drafting Dylan Harper to pair with Stephon Castle.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won 15 of their last 17 home openers.
- The Thunder have lost six of their last seven road openers against Western Conference opponents.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in four of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won 21 of their last 22 Tuesday night games.
- The Spurs have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Spurs’ last six games.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games at Frost Bank Center.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Thunder’s last 10 road openers against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Spurs’ last eight season openers against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Julian Champagnie was one of only 11 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game last season.
- Keldon Johnson was one of only 11 qualified Guards in the league to shoot at least 50% from the field last season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren ranked 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) last season.
- Ajay Mitchell was one of only 12 players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs recorded the most road wins by a margin of 10+ points last season (21).
- The Spurs recorded the equal-most road wins by a margin of 25+ points last season (8).
- The Thunder ranked 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage last season (74.0%).
- The Thunder ranked 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game last season (16.2).
Spurs vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are missing a couple of role players, with Thomas Sober and Nikola Topic both ruled out, while the Spurs have already ruled out Tobias Harris, who is dealing with a calf strain.
These teams met a total of 12 times last season, with the Spurs winning eight of those meetings, but the Thunder have been great in season openers, as they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine season-opening games, but they’ve also lost their last four road games against the Spurs. You could make the argument for either side here, but the results don’t lie: the Spurs have had the better of the Thunder lately, and I think they kick off their campaign with a statement win at home.
