Utah State Aggies (2-4) vs. Texas State Bobcats (3-3)
October 24, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -535 / Utah State Aggies 400; Over/Under: 60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Texas State vs Utah State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 24th at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats are 3-3 (1-1) this year after they defeated Colorado State by a score of 66-27 in their last game. Texas State led 45-21 at halftime and they added 21 points in the third quarter in the blowout win. The Bobcats out gained Colorado State by a total of 716-437, went 5-9 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Brad Jackson threw for 213 yards and one touchdown, while Beau Sparks caught two passes for 57 yards. Torrance Burgess Jr rushed 24 times for 224 yards and four scores in the win.
Prior to that game, Texas State lost to San Diego State by a score of 31-29, but did beat Incarnate Word by a score of 63-10 before that. The Bobcats have scored 40.0 points per game with 258.8 passing yards and 303.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 32.2 points against per game this season. Brad Jackson has thrown for 1,439 yards with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions this year.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Utah State Aggies are 2-4 (1-1) this season after they defeated Washington State by a score of 17-16 in their last game. Utah State trailed 16-3 at halftime, but they scored seven points in the third quarter and seven in the fourth for the win. The Aggies were out gained by a total of 257-236, went 3-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Grady Brosterhous threw for 150 yards and one touchdown, while Eli Wood caught six passes for 84 yards and one score. Javen Jacobs rushed 15 times for 62 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Utah State lost to Boise State by a score of 37-18, but did beat Troy by a score of 21-10 before that. The Aggies have scored 14.5 points per game with 189.8 passing yards and 120.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.5 points against per game this season. Grady Brosterhous has thrown for 914 yards with seven touchdowns and six interceptions this season.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Utah State has lost 18 of its last 19 games as a road underdog.
- The home team has won each of Utah State’s last five games.
- Utah State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 13 road games in October.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Texas State’s last four games.
- Utah State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games.
- Texas State has won the first quarter in each of its last four games.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Texas State has lost six of its last seven October games as a favorite.
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in October.
- Utah State has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Utah State has won the first half in six of its last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Utah State has won the first quarter in six of its last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas State’s last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Utah State’s last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Torrance Burgess Jr. ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for rushing yards (838) this season.
Utah State Aggies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Asher Cunningham leads the Pac-12 Conference for forced fumbles (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (13.3).
- Texas State ranks 1st among FBS teams for yards per game this season (562.3).
- Utah State has lost the second quarter in each of its last seven games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Utah State ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.8).
Texas State vs Utah State Prediction
Texas State comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 49+ points all three of those wins. The Bobcats have been elite on offense this year, but the defense has had some issues. Utah State has won two of their last three games, but they have scored 18 or fewer in five straight. I just don’t think Utah State has the offensive firepower to keep up, so give me Texas State here.
