Thunder vs Suns Prediction 10/26/26 NBA Picks Today

The Phoenix Suns needed to respond after getting completely smashed in their season opener, and they did just that with a 131-122 win over the Warriors on Saturday. Devin Booker was on fire in this one as he scored 43 points with seven rebounds and seven assists on 17 of 25 shooting; Miles Bridges added 16 points, while Dillon Brooks chipped in with 15 points and five assists.

As a team, the Suns shot a sizzling 58 percent from the field and 14 of 37 from the 3-point line as they poured in 35 points in the second quarter to take a narrow lead into halftime, before they exploded for 45 points in the third quarter to push the margin out to 16 points, which was more than enough to hold off a depleted Warriors outfit.

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they are now gunning for a fourth straight victory after outlasting the Clippers in a 108-101 home win last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 34 points, six rebounds and five assists on 13 of 26 shooting; Ajay Mitchell added 18 points with six rebounds and four assists, while Alex Caruso chipped in with 12 points, seven rebounds and six assists off the bench.

As a team, the Thunder shot 45 percent from the field and just eight of 24 from the 3-point line as they battled the pesky Clippers in a close contest until the 3:00 mark in the fourth quarter, when they went on a pivotal 6-0 run to finally pull away. Jared McCain had a rough outing as he shot just one of eight from the field for his three points, while Chet Holmgren shot just three of 10 from the field.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 20 games at Paycom Center following a home win.
• The Suns have lost 17 of their last 18 road games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games following a win.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Suns.
• The Suns have won each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage against the Thunder.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Suns have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against the Thunder.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Thunder’s last 10 home games against the Suns following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Suns’ last eight night games at Paycom Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (96.3).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.6%).
• The Suns rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-16.0).
• The Suns rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (17.5).

The Suns have ruled out Mark Williams again, with Oso Ighodaro listed as doubtful, while the Thunder are keeping an eye on Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, and Cason Wallace, who all suffered injuries in the last game. The Thunder were always going to be heavy favorites at home, but there is some uncertainty with three more players added to the injury report.

The Suns were able to get the win over the Warriors on Saturday behind a big game from Booker, and I think they can at least make this one a contest at the end against a shorthanded Thunder team. The Thunder could still win in a blowout, but I will take my chances with the Suns and the points here.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Phoenix +8.5