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Browns vs Steelers Prediction 11/1/26 NFL Picks Today

Cleveland Browns (5-2) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2)
November 1, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5; Over/Under: 39.5
(Get latest betting odds)

Browns vs Steelers Prediction

In this Browns vs Steelers Prediction for this NFL Week 7 matchup on Sunday, November 1st, the Steelers are coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as the Steelers have won three straight and have been undefeated at home this season, while the Browns are 5-1 in their last 6 games but have lost two of their last three road games, having scored just 12 and 10 points in those defeats. Steelers have been slightly better both on the offensive and the defensive end, having the 5th-best defense in all football and will be facing a struggling Browns offense that has been the 5th-worst in the league. The Steelers have been dominating the Browns in Pittsburgh, having won and covered all five home head-to-head meetings, so I expect them to get the job done in a very reasonable price. Take the Steelers and lay the -3.5 points at home in this one.

Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 5-2 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the AFC North. They have a 3-0 home record and are 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 16-10 road win against the Saints and will face the Bengals, the Eagles and the Broncos next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 21.9 points per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 19.7 points per game, which is 5th. Pittsburgh averages 323.7 total yards per game (217.6 passing and 106.1 rushing), while allowing 303.7 total yards per game (91 rushing and 212.7 passing). They average 5.1 yards per play, while allowing 5 yards per play to opponents. They score on 38% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.85 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 38.7% of drives, while allowing 1.75 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 7 times, while defensively, they have forced 11 turnovers, giving them a +4 net turnover margin.

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 1699 passing yards with 61.6% completed passes and thirteen touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 561, while D.K. Metcalf has 32 receptions for a team-high 374 receiving yards. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 61 total tackles (33 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 5.5.

Injury Report:

  • Ben Skowronek (Questionable, Calf) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Alex Highsmith (Questionable, Groin) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Jalen Ramsey (Questionable, Wrist) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Doneiko Slaughter (Questionable, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Brandin Echols (Questionable, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 1

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Cleveland Browns have a 5-2 record this season are sitting on the 1st place of the AFC North. They have a 2-2 road record and are 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 27-24 road win against the Titans and will face the Saints, the Texans and the Raiders next.

Offensively, the Browns average 19 points per game, ranking 28th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 20.9 points per game, which is 12th. Cleveland averages 299.4 total yards per game (192.7 passing and 106.7 rushing), while allowing 318.1 total yards per game (116.4 rushing and 201.7 passing). They average 5 yards per play, while allowing 5 yards per play to opponents. They score on 33.3% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.64 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 37.2% of drives, while allowing 1.88 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 9 times, while defensively, they have forced 9 turnovers, giving them a 0 net turnover margin.

Deshaun Watson leads the Browns with 1482 passing yards with 64.8% completed passes and seven touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 317, while Denzel Boston has 20 receptions for a team-high 372 receiving yards. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 64 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Mason Graham leads the team in sacks, with 4.

Injury Report:

  • Tytus Howard (Questionable, Concussion) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Mike Hall Jr. (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Myles Harden (Questionable, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Jared Verse (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 1
  • Dylan Sampson (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 1

 

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 8

 

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

  • The home team has won each of the last 10 games between the Browns and Steelers.
  • The Browns have lost 22 of their last 23 games at Acrisure Stadium.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the last 10 games between the Browns and Steelers.
  • The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Steelers have won the first quarter in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

  • The Browns have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
  • The Steelers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
  • The Browns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight November games against AFC North opponents.
  • The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
  • The Browns have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven day games against the Steelers.
  • The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
  • The Steelers have lost the first half in five of their last six games following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Browns’ last eight road games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four Sunday games between the Browns and Steelers have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the last five games between AFC North teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

  • D.K. Metcalf has scored at least one touchdown in five of his six previous Week 8 appearances.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his four previous Week 8 home appearances.
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last eight regular season games.
  • Rico Dowdle has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his last 10 November appearances.
  • Aaron Rodgers has recorded 221+ passing yards in each of the Steelers’ last five regular season home games.
  • Rico Dowdle has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances following a win.
  • Jaylen Warren has the highest average yards after catch (14.3) of any qualified player this season.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with Shedeur Sanders as the starting quarterback.
  • Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with Shedeur Sanders as the starting quarterback.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last eight appearances following a road win.
  • Jerry Jeudy has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances against the Steelers.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 213+ passing yards in each of his last eight road appearances against division opponents.
  • Audric Estime has recorded 36+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances following a win.
  • Shedeur Sanders has recorded 16+ completions in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
  • Heading into Week 8, Denzel Boston ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Steelers – four different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
  • Steelers – seven different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
  • Browns – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
  • Browns – 11 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.

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