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Wild vs Capitals Prediction 11/1/26 NHL Picks Today

Minnesota Wild (9-3) vs. Washington Capitals (8-4)
November 1, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Capitals -112 / Minnesota Wild -108; Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

Wild vs Capitals Prediction

In this Wild vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -110 home favorites. Both teams have been in good form, as the Capitals are 5-1 in their last 6 games and have been excellent at home this season, while the Wild are 3-1 in their last 4 games, so I would rather not pick a side in this matchup. Both offenses have been in excellent form, as the Capitals have scored 4+ goals in five of their last six games and the Wild have scored 15 goals in their last four games. Both teams average 6.7 goals per game combined this season and most of their recent head-to-head meetings have gone over the total. Take the over 6 goals in this one.

The Wild are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Capitals but have lost two of their last three visits in Washington. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 16 points this season with an 8-4-0 record and a 6-2-0 home record. They are 6-6 ATS and 9-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 road win against the Predators and will face the Stars and Panthers next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.58 goals per game with 27.8 shots on goal per game and are scoring 18.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.08 goals per game on 28.0 shots on goal per game and are killing 79.5% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 115 total penalty minutes this season.

Alex Tuch leads the Capitals with 12 points, adding a team-high 10 goals with 33 shots on goal, while Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 9. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 5-3-0 record, with 2.78 GAA and .903 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 3-1-0 record, with 2.98 GAA and .887 SV%.

Injury Report:

  • Vincent Desharnais — IR, est. return Dec 5
  • Rasmus Sandin — IR-LT, est. return Dec 26
  • Patrick Thomas — IR-NR, est. return Nov 14

Minnesota Wild Preview

The Wild have 21 points this season with a 9-3-3 record and a 5-3-2 road record. They are 10-5 ATS and 4-11 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 overtime home loss against the Islanders and will face the Flyers and Sharks next.

Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.13 goals per game with 30.9 shots on goal per game and are scoring 25.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.33 goals per game on 25.1 shots on goal per game and are killing 80.9% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 137 total penalty minutes this season.

Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 24 points, adding a team-high 14 goals with 51 shots on goal, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 16. Jesper Wallstedt is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 8-2-3 record, with 2.14 GAA and .916 SV%. Calvin Pickard is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 3.50 GAA and .833 SV%.

Injury Report:

  • Jared Spurgeon — IR, est. return Nov 6
  • Brock Faber — IR, est. return Nov 3
  • Filip Gustavsson — IR-LT, est. return Nov 19
  • Marcus Foligno — IR, est. return Nov 3
  • Nick Foligno — IR, est. return Nov 3

 

Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: November 1, 2026

 

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Capitals have won five of their last six games.
  • The Wild have lost three of their last four road games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in four of the last five games between the Wild and Capitals.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four day games.
  • The Wild have lost the first period in three of their last four games at Capital One Arena.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The Wild have won nine of their last 10 day games after coming off overtime.
  • The Capitals have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 games against the Capitals.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Wild have won the third period in four of their last five road games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Capitals’ last four games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Wild’s last three games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Wild’s last nine games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Capitals’ last 13 day games at Capital One Arena.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Tuch has scored the last goal in each of the Capitals’ last three games as favorites.
  • Pierre-Luc Dubois has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with the Capitals as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last five games as favorites.
  • Alex Tuch ranks 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (5) this season.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored at least one goal in six of the Wild’s last seven road games.
  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of the Wild’s last eight games as underdogs.
  • Kirill Kaprizov is the only player in the league to have recorded 3+ shots in eight or more consecutive appearances this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.33).
  • The Washington Capitals rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.75).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.60).
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 2nd in the league in save percentage this season (.910).

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 6

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