Dallas Mavericks (4-3) vs. San Antonio Spurs (5-2)
November 4, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -11.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Max Christie, Dereck Lively, and Tarik Biberovic, with Santi Aldama listed as questionable, while the Spurs will again be without the injured Tobias Harris. The Mavericks were starting to heat up with three wins on the trot before they laid an egg against the previously winless Kings on Monday.
These teams last met on Oct 24, and it was the Spurs who rolled to a 122-106 road win, but the Mavericks were without Cooper Flagg, so we should be in for a closer contest in this one. The Spurs were always going to be heavy favorites at home, and I expect them to earn their sixth straight win here, but this line seems too hefty, so I will back the Mavericks with the points in this spot.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been in pretty good form as they’ve won four of their first seven games overall, but they will be eager to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the lowly Kings in a 115-100 home defeat on Monday. Daniel Gafford led the team with 20 points on nine of 10 shooting,
Cooper Flagg added 17 points while PJ Washington chipped in with 12 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 41 percent from the field and seven of 33 from the 3-point line as they kept pace with the Kings in a tightly contested first half, before they had a terrible night shooting the ball and it caught up to them in the second half. Flagg shot just three of 19 from the field while committing six turnovers, while Naji Marshall shot just two of nine from the field for his five points.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been in great form as they are now gunning for a sixth straight victory after blowing past the struggling Jazz in a 119-97 home win on Monday. Dylan Harper led the team with 17 points, seven rebounds and eight assists; Stephon Castle added 16 points with five rebounds and four assists, while Keldon Johnson chipped in with 15 points off the bench.
As a team, the Spurs shot 46 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with their defense by holding the Jazz to just 16 points in the first quarter to take a double-digit lead, before the Spurs exploded for 35 points in the third quarter to put the game to bed early, allowing them to pull their starters.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against the Mavericks following a win.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Mavericks.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Mavericks’ last four games.
- The Spurs have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last four games.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight home games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six games against the Spurs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Spurs’ last nine home games against the Mavericks have gone OVER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (4.0) this season.
- De’Aaron Fox ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for FG% (58.2%) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Kyrie Irving ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
- Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (75.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (7.0).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.4).
- The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (70.3%).
- The Mavericks rank 27th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (13.9).
