Cowboys vs Colts Prediction 11/8/26 NFL Picks Today

Cowboys vs Colts Prediction

In this Cowboys vs Colts Prediction, the Cowboys are coming as -5.5 road favorites. Both teams have not been in good form lately, as the Colts have lost four straight games and are 1-3 against the spread, while the Cowboys are 1-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last four games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing bad defense throughout the season, ranking on the bottom-6 of the league in points allowed, with 54.4 points per game combined. As a result, they are 9-3 to the over in their last 12 games combined and their most recent head-to-head meeting back in 2022 was also a high-scoring one. Take the over 51.5 points in this one.

Indianapolis Colts Preview

The Indianapolis Colts have a 2-6 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the AFC South. They have a 1-2 home record and are 1-4 on the road and are 4-4 against the spread and 5-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-42 road loss against the Jaguars and will face the Dolphins and the Texans next.

Offensively, the Colts average 20.1 points per game, ranking 26th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 27.8 points per game, which is 30th. Indianapolis averages 291.1 total yards per game (174.6 passing and 116.5 rushing), while allowing 343.5 total yards per game (131.8 rushing and 211.8 passing). They average 4.5 yards per play, while allowing 5.9 yards per play to opponents. They score on 38.2% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.82 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 46% of drives, while allowing 2.39 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 15 times, while defensively, they have forced 4 turnovers, giving them a -11 net turnover margin.

Daniel Jones leads the Colts with 1542 passing yards with 60.4% completed passes and five touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing yards with 610, while Josh Downs has 30 receptions for a team-high 330 receiving yards. Defensively, Akeem Davis-Gaither has a team-high 65 total tackles (33 of them solo), while Adetomiwa Adebawore and DeForest Buckner have a team-high 4 sacks each.

Injury Report:
• Drew Ogletree (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 8
• Akeem Davis-Gaither (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 8
• Alec Pierce (IR, Heel) – Est. return Nov 29
• Justin Walley (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 8
• Anthony Gould (Questionable, Concussion) – Est. return Nov 8

Dallas Cowboys Preview

The Dallas Cowboys have a 3-5 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the NFC East. They have a 1-3 home record and are 2-2 on the road and are 4-4 against the spread and 6-2 in over/under. They are coming off a 30-33 home loss against the Cardinals and will face the 49ers and the Titans next.

Offensively, the Cowboys average 27.4 points per game, ranking 7th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 26.6 points per game, which is 27th. Dallas averages 342 total yards per game (247.9 passing and 94.1 rushing), while allowing 385.4 total yards per game (152.8 rushing and 232.6 passing). They average 5.3 yards per play, while allowing 5.9 yards per play to opponents. They score on 51.9% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.86 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 46.3% of drives, while allowing 2.61 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 7 times, while defensively, they have forced 6 turnovers, giving them a -1 net turnover margin.

Dak Prescott leads the Cowboys with 2046 passing yards with 65.2% completed passes and fourteen touchdowns. Javonte Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 528, while CeeDee Lamb has 60 receptions for a team-high 709 receiving yards. Defensively, Caleb Downs has a team-high 52 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Quinnen Williams leads the team in sacks, with 5.

Injury Report:
• Tyler Smith (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8
• DeMarvion Overshown (Questionable, Hamstring) – Est. return Nov 8
• Caleb Downs (Questionable, Concussion) – Est. return Nov 8
• Joey Porter Jr. (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8
• Jake Ferguson (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 8

Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

• The Cowboys have lost six of their last seven Sunday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Colts’ last two games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites without DaRon Bland.
• The Colts have covered the spread in 12 of their last 15 November games against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last three November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in five of their last six Week 9 road games against AFC opponents.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Colts have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have won each of their last six road games against AFC opponents on a losing streak.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last four games following an overtime loss.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games.
• The Colts have lost the first quarter in three of their last four Week 9 games against NFC East opponents.
• The Cowboys have won the first half in each of their last four games as road favorites against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last five day games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Colts’ last six Week 9 games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Daniel Jones has recorded 21+ completions in seven of his nine previous November appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 17+ rushing yards in 13 of his 14 previous home appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 212+ passing yards in seven of his nine previous appearances in day games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Mecole Hardman has scored a touchdown in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Josh Downs has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last nine day games at Lucas Oil Stadium.
• Heading into Week 9, Spencer Shrader ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (6) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Javonte Williams has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four Sunday road appearances.
• Ryan Flournoy has recorded 38+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four games as favorites.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 268+ passing yards in four of the Cowboys’ last five games against AFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in eight of his nine previous appearances with the Cowboys as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Cowboys’ last four road games against AFC South opponents.
• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four Sunday road appearances.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Cowboys’ last six games against AFC South opponents.
• Heading into Week 9, Javonte Williams has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Texans, Week 4).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 9, the Colts have suffered the largest margin of defeat in the NFL this season (35-points vs Jacksonville on November 1, 2026).
• Heading into Week 9, the Colts have recorded a higher time of possession than their opponents in each of their last six games – longest active streak in the league.
• Heading into Week 9, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (51.4%) this season.
• Heading into Week 9, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 1st downs against (183) this season.