Brian Castano vs Jermell Charlo Boxing Picks, Odds, Predictions 7/17/21

Jermell Charlo and Brian Castano fight Saturday in a boxing match at the AT&T Center for the WBO light middleweight title. Charlo enters this fight with a 34-1 record that includes 18 knockouts. Castano enters this fight with a 17-0-1 record that includes 12 knockouts. 

Charlo has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a September win over Jeison Rosario. Charlo successfully defended his WBC light middleweight title in his last bout with an eighth round knockout. He’s now won three straight fights since his 2018 loss to Tony Harrison. Charlo is 31 years old, stands at 5’11”, has a 73-inch reach and orthodox stance. Charlo is an exciting fighter who gets in and out quickly, throws crisp combinations and has some pop behind his strikes. Charlo doesn’t have the patience or technical style that his brother has, but he’s the aggressor from the start and will simply bully his opponent if he allows. He can take a little more damage than you’d like due to his aggressiveness, but he’s going to get his shots in regardless. Charlo is a fighter worth watching. This will be Charlo’s 13th career fight in Texas.

Castano has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a February win over Patrick Teixeira. Castano is coming off a one-sided decision victory and now looks for his second victory this year. He’s improved his resume over the last few years, but this will be Castano’s biggest fight yet. Castano is 31 years old, stands at 5’7”, has a 67.5-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Castano is an aggressive, tough fighter who is going to stand in the pocket and trade punches. Castano is going to let his hands go, he can take punishment and keep coming forward, and his conditioning is as good as it gets. Castano is a bulldog in the boxing ring and he’s simply not going to be outworked. This will be Castano’s first career fight in Texas.

This is going to be a fun fight between two fighters with similar pressure styles. Charlo is going to be an issue for the smaller Castano, but this is some nice plus money with a proven fighter and somebody who is going to bring an insane work rate. Castano doesn’t back down, he lets his hands go, he can take shots, and he’s going to throw power combinations. In other words, you have a punchers chance with Castano every time he takes the ring. I like it.

There’s value with Castano here.