Tyson Fury vs Deontay Wilder Boxing Picks, Odds, Predictions 10/9/21

Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury fight Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena for the World Boxing Council World Heavy Title. Wilder enters this fight with a 42-1-1 record that includes 41 knockouts. Fury enters this fight with a 30-0-1 record that includes 21 knockouts.

Wilder has won six of his last eight fights, and he’s coming off a February (2020) loss to Fury. Wilder is coming off his worst showing of his career where he looked sluggish, didn’t have his legs and was knocked out in the seventh round. Wilder has a lot of excuses for looking the way he did, but he has a chance to redeem himself with a victory here. Wilder’s stock took a major hit in his last bout and it’s crucial he bounces back here if he hopes to stay in the elite conversation. Wilder is a soon-to-be-36-year-old American who stands at 6’7”, has an 83-inch reach and an orthodox stance. When in good form, Wilder is still the most powerful puncher in boxing and one of the best power punchers in the history of the sport. Wilder has a lot of flaws from a boxing standpoint, as his defense isn’t great, his technique is off a bit and he doesn’t have the best footwork. However, Wilder can erase things with just one shot and we saw it back in 2018 when he produced a knockdown and forced a draw. Wilder doesn’t have to box well to win a fight. This will be Wilder’s sixth career fight in Nevada. 

Fury has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a February (2020) win over Wilder. Fury showed that the first bout wasn’t a fluke, as he was dominant from the start and looked like he could have finished things earlier. Most people thought Fury won the first meeting even after being dropped late, so he certainly proved those folks right and is now wildly considered the best heavyweight in boxing. Fury is 33 years old, stands at 6’9”, has an 85-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Fury continues to show he’s a unique heavyweight who moves like a middleweight and has quirky style that makes his opponent uncomfortable. Fury is always mixing up his stance, giving different looks and has faster hands than you’d expect from a guy his size. Fury can box from the inside and outside, and he’s clearly not afraid of the power that Wilder brings to the table, as he’s attacked him without much care and has been able to slip most of those power punches. We haven’t seen a boxer like Fury in this division. This will be Fury’s fourth career fight in Nevada. 

There’s value to getting Wilder at big plus money, as he only needs to land one shot to win the fight. Wilder doesn’t have to win majority of the rounds, he just needs to land one punch. There’s value at big plus money. However, we’ve seen these guys fight twice already and Fury was the better boxer for nearly every round. Even when he was dropped in the first bout, he dominated that fight and probably should have still earned the victory. Things usually don’t change a whole lot when guys enter a third bout, as all the tricks and what not were already used. There’s no surprises here. Fury is the better boxer and there’s no other way to slice it.

Price is a bit steep, but I’ll back Fury with confidence.