Southern Miss vs South Alabama 11/19/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles and South Alabama Jaguars meet Saturday in week 12 Sun Belt college football action at M. M. Roberts Stadium. The South Alabama Jaguars look to build on their 3-game winning streak. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles look to get a game above a .500 record.

The South Alabama Jaguars have won 3 straight road games. Carter Bentley is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 2,548 yards, 19 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jalen Wayne and Caullin Lacy have combined for 1,369 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Devin Voisin has 44 receptions. The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 161.3 yards per contest, and La’Damian Webb leads the way with 938 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 19.3 points and 296.2 yards per game. James Miller leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 58 tackles, Jamie Sheriff has 5 sacks and Yam Banks has 5 interceptions.

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have won 3 of their last 4 home games. Zach Wilcke is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 1,163 yards, 9 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Jason Brownlee and Tiaquelin Mims have combined for 1,042 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jakarius Caston has 22 receptions. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles ground game is averaging 110.5 yards per contest, and Frank Gore Jr. leads the way with 788 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Southern Mississippi is allowing 24.5 points and 377.4 yards per game. Malik Shorts leads the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles with 75 tackles, Dominic Quewon has 8.5 sacks and Jay Stanley has 3 interceptions.

The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games. The over is 6-1 in Golden Eagles last 7 home games.

The South Alabama Jaguars are the better team on both sides of the ball and should be decent sized favorites. However, the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have played their best ball at home and this is senior night where they need another win to clinch a bowl berth. While it may be at a talent disadvantage, I’d expect Southern Mississippi to play hard for those reasons. There’s value with the hook on top of the free touchdown. I’ll take it.