Tennessee vs Florida College Basketball Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/12/21

The Florida Gators and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in an SEC conference tournament quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action from the Bridgestone Arena on Friday afternoon.

The Florida Gators booked their spot in the quarters with a 69-63 win over Vanderbilt on Thursday. Tre Mann led the way with 22 points on 7 of 12 shooting with 7 rebounds and a team-high 6 assists while Noah Locke has 13 points on 5 of 12 shooting with 3 threes and Tyree Appleby chipped in 12 points with a pair of threes and 4 assists to finish off the group of double-digit scorers for Florida in the winning effort. Colin Castleton added 6 points with a team-high 8 rebounds, a pair of steals and a pair of blocks as well in the victory.

The Tennessee Volunteers come into the conference tournament as the #4 seed, finishing the regular season with a conference record of 10-7 as part of their 17-7 overall record this season. Jaden Springer leads the Vols in scoring with 12.4 PPG along with 2.9 APG while Vic Bailey Jr. has 11.4 PPG and Keon Johnson has 10.8 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Tennessee up to this point in the season. John Fulkerson has 9.5 PPG with 5.7 RPG and Yves Pons has 5.3 RPG. Sebastian Vescovi has 3.1 APG to lead Tennessee in assists and Josiah Jordan James has 6.1 RPG to lead the Volunteers on the glass. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 72.5 PPG on 44.3% shooting from the field and 33.7% from three while allowing 62.7 PPG on 40.2% shooting from the field and 31.7% from three this season.

Florida is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 3-0-1 in their lat 4 games following a win. Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 neutral site games. The favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams.

Florida won the first meeting between the two sides in January and Tennessee got their revenge in March but I don’t think that Florida’s forgotten about that game and the Vols don’t have the added incentive that senior day provided in that game. I think we see an inspired effort here from Florida and in the end I see this being a game that’s decided in the last couple of possessions, so I’ll take my chances with Florida and the points here.