Dayton vs Alabama State 12/1/21 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Alabama State Hornets and the Dayton Flyers meet in college basketball action from the UD Arena on Wednesday night.

The Alabama State Hornets will try to bounce back from an 81-69 loss at the hands of North Alabama last time out. Gerald Liddell leads the Hornets in scoring and assists with 11.5 PPG and 2.2 APG along with 5 RPG while Trace Young has 10.8 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Alabama State so far this season. Isaiah Range, Christian McCray and Jordan O’Neal each have 9+ PPG with O’Neal logging 5.9 RPG as well to lead the Hornets on the glass. As a team, Alabama State is averaging 73.5 PPG on 45.9% shooting from the field, 34% from three and 66.9% from the foul line while allowing 80.5 PPG on 43.2% shooting from the field and 30.5% from three this season.

The Dayton Flyers will be out to add to their 63-61 win over Belmont in their last game. Toumani Camara leads Dayton in scoring with 10.6 PPG and in rebounding with 6.7 RPG while Elijah Weaver and Daron Holmes II each have 10 PPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Dayton so far this season. Malachi Smith also has 8.4 PPG and a team-high 4.1 APG for the Flyers. As a team, Dayton is averaging 67.9 PPG on 47.9% shooting from the field, 30.8% from three and 67.7% from the foul line while allowing 67.4 PPG on 44.3% shooting from the field and 33.8% from three this season.

Alabama State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home while the over is 7-2 in their last 9 games overall. Dayton is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win.

I think this game just boils down to which Dayton team shows up in this game. It may sound funny, but the way I’ve started to piece it together is if the Flyers are laying points, fade them, and if they’re getting points play them. Dayton’s 0-4 ATS as a favorite and 3-0 ATS as a dog this season and laying almost 20 points here is not a place I want to be with Dayton, even against Alabama State. Give me the Hornets here.