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Tarleton State vs Air Force 12/21/21 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Air Force Falcons (7-3) vs. Tarleton State Texans (4-8)
December 21, 2021 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tarleton State Texans -6.5 / Air Force Falcons +6.5; Over/Under: 113.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Air Force Falcons will travel to Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton Texans this Tuesday night in College Basketball action.

The Air Force Falcons lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 7-3 on the season after defeating the Arkansas State Red Wolves, 68-46, this past Sunday. Air Force struggled offensively for the 2nd straight game and could not fight back in this matchup after going into halftime trailing by a 34-24 margin. Air Force shot just 32.1% from the field & 28.6% from beyond the arc while allowing Arkansas State to shoot 47.4% from the field & 31.3% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Falcons was A.J. Walker who had 6 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, & 1 steal.

On the season, Air Force is averaging 61.3 ppg on 46.2% shooting from the field. The Falcons are averaging 7.8 three-pointers per game on 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Air Force has been led by A.J. Walker (17.8 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.4 spg), Ethan Taylor (9.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 3.7 apg, 2.3 spg), Joseph Octave (8.9 ppg, 3.7 rpg), & Jake Heidbreder (8.1 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.5 apg).

Defensively, Air Force is holding their opponents to an average of 59.7 ppg on 46.2% shooting from the field. The Falcons have a rebound margin of -3.6 and a turnover margin of -0.8.

The Tarleton Texans improved to 4-8 on the season after defeating the South Alabama Jaguars, 65-52, this past Friday night. Tarleton led by a 27-25 margin at halftime and was able to pull away in the 2nd half after taking a 58-47 lead with just 2:57 left in regulation. Tarleton shot 42.6% from the field & 40.0% from beyond the arc while holding South Alabama to just 41.7% shooting from the field & 35.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Texans was Montre Gipson who had 27 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, & 1 steal.

On the season, Tarleton is averaging 61.9 ppg on 40.7% shooting from the field. The Texans are averaging 4.2 three-pointers per game on 26.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Tarleton has been led by Montre Gipson (15.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Tahj Small (14.4 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg), Freddy Hicks (7.8 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.0 spg), & Shakur Daniel (6.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg).

Defensively, Tarleton is holding their opponents to an average of 63.3 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Texans have a rebound margin of -2.5 and a turnover margin of 4.3.

The Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. The Texans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Air Force is a solid defensive team, however, the offense has struggled as the Falcons come into this game ranked just 333rd in scoring offense and are coming off back-to-back games in which they scored just 48 & 46 points. Tarleton is a solid defensive team that has played some very good teams (Michigan & Gonzaga) tough this season and as I expect the Falcons offense to struggle once again on the road, I think Tarleton will cover this mid-range home spread. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: Tarleton State Texans -6.5

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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