College Basketball Picks

St. Mary’s vs Missouri State 12/7/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Missouri State Bears (4-4) vs. St. Mary's Gaels (6-3)
December 7, 2022 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: St. Mary's Gaels -14.5 / Missouri State Bears +14.5; Over/Under: +124
(Get latest betting odds)

The Missouri State Bears and the Saint Mary’s Gaels meet in college basketball action from the University Credit Union Pavilion on Wednesday night.

The Missouri State Bears will look to rebound from a 58-40 loss to Bradley last time out. Chance Moore leads the Bears in scoring with 13.3 PPG along with 5 RPG as the lone double-digit scorer for the Bears up to this point in the season. Donovan Clay has 8.6 PPG with a team-high 6.4 RPG and 3.6 APG to lead the Bears in rebounding and assists up to this point in the season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 65.1 PPG on 42.9% shooting from the field, 33.5% from three and 57.9% from the foul line this season.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels will try to snap a three-game losing streak after their 53-48 loss to Houston in their last game. Alex Ducas leads the Gaels in scoring with 13.9 PPG and 3.9 RPG while Mitchell Saxen has 13.3 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Gaels in rebounding up to this point in the year. Aidan Mahoney has 13 PPG with 2.7 RPG and Logan Johnson has 10.8 PPG with 5.8 RPG and a team-high 4 APG to lead the Gaels in assists up to this point in the season and also round out the group of double-digit scorers for Saint Mary’s so far this season. As a team, Saint Mary’s is averaging 68.9 PPG on 44.6% shooting from the field, 37.8% from three and 63.6% from the foul line this season.

Missouri State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 road games against a team with a winning home record while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Saint Mary’s is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

I didn’t expect this from the Bears this season, but by choice or not, they’ve found themselves in a lot of lower-scoring games as they’re 1-6 to the under in their lined games. Saint Mary’s is a defensive power by default, and I just don’t think we’re going to see a ton of points in this game, so even with the low total, I have to take the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 124

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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