College Basketball Picks

Florida vs LSU Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/4/23

LSU Tigers (13-17) vs. Florida Gators (15-15)
March 4, 2023 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Gators -8 / LSU Tigers +8; Over/Under: +139
(Get latest betting odds)

The LSU Tigers and Florida Gators meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Exactech Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The LSU Tigers are averaging 67.5 points on 41.5 percent shooting and allowing 70.4 points on 44.7 percent shooting. KJ Williams is averaging 17.3 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Adam Miller is averaging 11.9 points and 2.3 rebounds. Derek Fountain is dishing 0.9 assists and Cam Hayes is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The LSU Tigers are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 71.9 percent from the free throw line. The LSU Tigers are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.

The Florida Gators are averaging 71.8 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 68.7 points on 41.3 percent shooting. Colin Castleton is averaging 16 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Will Richard is averaging 10.5 points and 4.4 rebounds. Kowacie Reeves is grabbing 2.6 rebounds and Kyle Lofton is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 72.3 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game.

The Tigers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Gators are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall. The over is 7-1 in Gators last 8 overall. The road team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Neither team is playing well, so backing either side is a bit blah to me, but the Florida Gators are the better team and at home makes them stronger. The LSU Tigers haven’t covered numbers all year, and they’re losing on the road by an average of 14 points while shooting 38.1 percent from the field. Give me Florida.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Florida Gators -8

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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