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Alabama vs Florida Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Florida (25-4) vs. Alabama (23-6)
March 5, 2025 12:00 am EDT
The Line: Alabama ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida Gators meet on Wednesday in college basketball action at Coleman Coliseum. Here’s an Alabama vs Florida Prediction. This article will include an Alabama vs Florida Pick.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators (25-4, 21-8 ATS) were on a six-game winning streak and close to record the seventh in a row but fell short to the Georgia Bulldogs 88-83 on the road. Still, Florida responded in style with an 89-70 home victory over Texas A&M. Florida is 2nd in the SEC Standings with the same record as Alabama and 2.5 games behind Auburn. Although both teams will play one more game after this one, the tilt on Wednesday will be the battle for the No. 2 seed.



Florida is averaging 83.8 PPG (10th) and is allowing 67.2 PPG (51st). The Gators are getting 42.0 RPG (5th) and dish out 15.8 APG (65th). Walter Clayton Jr. is the team’s top scorer with 16.9 PPG, 3.7 RPG, a team-high 4.0 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Alijah Martin adds 14.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 2.4 APG, and 1.7 SPG, while Will Richard contributes 13.6 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and a game-high 1.8 SPG.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide (23-6, 17-12 ATS) are experiencing their worst sequence of results after losing three of the last four games. The defeats to Auburn and Missouri were consecutive, the first time this season that Alabama had lost two in a row. The Tide allowed even 204 points in those losses, and even though they bounced back with a massive 111-73 victory over Mississippi State, they lost the following game to Tennessee. Alabama is 3rd in the SEC Standings.

Alabama averages 91.0 PPG (1st) and allows 80.1 PPG (349th). The Crimson Tide are 2nd in rebounds (43.7) and 32nd in assists (16.8). Mark Sears leads the team with 19.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, a team-high 5.0 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Aden Holloway follows him with 12.0 PPG and 2.0 RPG, while Grant Nelson contributes 11.8 PPG, a team-high 8.0 RPG, and a team-high 1.3 BPG.

Why Florida will beat Alabama

  • Florida has won 19 of its last 21 night games.
  • Alabama has lost six of its last seven games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Alabama has lost the first half in six of its last seven night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.

Why Alabama will beat Florida

  • Alabama has won 41 of its last 45 games at Coleman Coliseum.
  • Florida has lost each of its last three games at Coleman Coliseum.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Florida’s last six games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida’s last 16 night games has produced a total of 174 or fewer points.
  • Each of Alabama’s last five night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 176 or fewer points.

Alabama vs Florida Prediction

These rivals had split the last ten H2H duels and betting on the winner is not something I’d recommend here. It’s an important game for both – the No. 2 is at stake. Now, betting on the total is a whole other story. Seven of the previous ten H2Hs went Over, and Florida reached a 100-point mark in each of the last two encounters. Also, overtime is a possibility; this occurred in two of the last seven H2Hs. Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of its last 37 games, while Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of its last 36 games. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 178.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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