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Arizona vs Arizona State Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Arizona State (13-16) vs. Arizona (19-10)
March 4, 2025 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona -15.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Arizona Wildcats meet Tuesday in college basketball action from McKale Center. Here’s an Arizona vs Arizona State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Arizona vs Arizona State pick.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Sun Devils started off the year on a nice run, but it’s been a tough road since early January record-wise. Arizona State hit a 10-3 opening stretch across their first 13 games though, falling to only Gonzaga, Florida, and BYU during that time. The Sun Devils would go 2-5 over the next seven, beating West Virginia and Colorado amid losses to Kansas, Baylor, UCF, Cincinnati, and Iowa State. Arizona State would go 1-7 in their next eight, with a lone win over Kansas State amid losses to Arizona, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, TCU, Houston, and BYU. That would give the Sun Devils a 13-15 record across their first 28 games of the season.


In their Saturday game versus Utah, the Sun Devils held a slim edge going into the second half 43-41. Arizona State was buried from there on a 58-30 run though, eventually falling 99-73. Joson Sanon topped the team with 28 points, three rebounds, and one assist. Basheer Jihad added 16 points with three rebounds and one assist, while Alston Mason had 13 points with four rebounds and four assists.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview

Over on the Arizona side, they’ve had a couple of pretty rough runs this year but overall they’re doing fairly well. The Wildcats opened on a 4-5 stretch with losses to Duke, Wisconsin, Oklahoma, West Virginia, and UCLA, then beat Samford, Central Michigan, TCU, Cincinnati, West Virginia, UCF, and Baylor before another loss to Texas Tech. After wins over Oklahoma State, Colorado, Iowa State, Arizona State, BYU and Texas Tech, Arizona hit a 2-3 run with wins over Baylor and Utah. The losses otherwise were versus Kansas State, Houston, and BYU, which would give the Wildcats a 19-9 record across their first 28 games this year.

Matched up against Iowa State on Saturday, the Wildcats were in trouble by halftime and facing a 43-30 deficit. Arizona didn’t get any closer than that in the end, posting a 41-37 run the rest of the way in an 84-67 loss. Jaden Bradley posted 18 points with two rebounds, three steals, and two assists, while KJ Lewis came off the bench for 13 points, six rebounds, two assists, and two blocks. Caleb Love added 10 points with three assists in the defeat as well.

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

  • Arizona has won 40 of its last 41 night games at McKale Memorial Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Arizona State has lost eight of its last nine games.
  • Arizona has won the first half in each of its last eight night games against Arizona State.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

  • The road team has won four of Arizona State’s last five games.
  • The road team has won the first half in each of Arizona State’s last six games.

Arizona vs Arizona State Prediction

I’ll lean toward Arizona, but this should be a fun one regardless. Also, the line’s certainly thick enough to make a case for the Sun Devils. The Wildcats faced a tough matchup on the road versus a great Iowa State team this past weekend and ended up shooting just 33.3 percent from the field with 4-of-22 (18.2 percent) from 3-point range. Arizona kept pace on the boards 31-31 but also coughed up 14 turnovers for 19 Cyclones points. it’s been a choppy 2-4 run over the last half-dozen games for the Wildcats. They’ve given up 73 or more points in three of the four losses during that time but they’ve also hit 70 or more points in four of those six outings.

These teams have met once before, during an 81-72 road victory for the Wildcats back on February 1. In that one, neither team shot very well (both below 38 percent) and there were a combined 24 turnovers (13 for the Wildcats). That said, Arizona was able to power out the win thanks to a 52-38 rebounding advantage and an excellent 21-of-22 (95.5 percent) rate from the foul line. I’d like to think that both teams will shoot better on Tuesday in the rematch, with Arizona eventually powering it out at home. That said, the line’s generous enough to take a stab at the Sun Devils as well. 

Andrew's Free Pick: Arizona Wildcats -15.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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