Dayton vs Fordham Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/11/23

The Fordham Rams and Dayton Flyers meet Saturday in the college basketball A-10 Tournament Semifinal at the Barclays Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Fordham Rams are averaging 72.2 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 67.5 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Darius Quisenberry is averaging 17.2 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Khalid Moore is averaging 15.6 points and 1.8 assists. Kyle Rose is dishing 1.4 assists and Antrell Charlton is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Fordham Rams are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free throw line. The Fordham Rams are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game.

The Dayton Flyers are averaging 69 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 60.8 points on 39.2 percent shooting. DaRon Holmes II is averaging 18 points and 7.9 rebounds, while Toumani Camara is averaging 13.8 points and 1.7 assists. Kobe Elvis is dishing 2.9 assists and Mustapha Amzil is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 69 percent from the free throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 28.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.

The Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The over is 6-2 in Rams last 8 overall. The under is 8-1 in Flyers last 9 overall. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

The Dayton Flyers are the better side, and they smoked Fordham in the only meeting on the road, but this line is a bit rude to the Rams. The Fordham Rams are not only playing great ball right now, but they’ve been a tough out all year, losing as underdogs by an average of 1.8 points. Fordham is 6-3 ATS when underdogs of 7 or fewer points. Give me the underdog.