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Duke vs SMU Prediction 1/10/26 College Basketball Picks Today

SMU (12-3) vs. Duke (14-1)
January 10, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Duke -13.5; Over/Under: 158.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Duke vs SMU prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 10th at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils are 14-1 (3-0) this season after they defeated Louisville by a score of 84-73 in their last game. Duke trailed 47-38 at halftime, but they won the second half 46-26 for the double-digit win. The Blue Devils shot 51% from the field, 30% on three pointers, and 68% on free throws in the game. Cameron Boozer led Duke with 27 points and eight rebounds, while Isaiah Evans added 23 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Duke defeated Florida State by a score of 91-87 and Georgia Tech by a score of 85-79. The Blue Devils have scored 87.1 points per game with 41.2 rebounds and 17.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.0 points against per game this season. Cameron Boozer is averaging 23.3 points and 9.7 rebounds per game, while Isaiah Evans is averaging 14.0 points and 3.6 rebounds per game for the Blue Devils. Duke is shooting 49.8% from the field, 71.4% on free throws, and 35.1% on three pointers this season. 

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs are 12-3 (1-1) this year after they lost to Clemson by a score of 74-70 in their last game. SMU trailed 34-25 at halftime, but they scored 45 points in the second half in the loss. The Mustangs shot 37% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 90% on free throws in the game. Boopie Miller led SMU with 23 points and eight rebounds, while Samet Yigitoglu added 14 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, SMU defeated North Carolina by a score of 97-83 and Cal State Fullerton by a score of 110-63. The Mustangs have scored 90.1 points per game with 39.3 rebounds and 18.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.7 points against per game this season. Boopie Miller is averaging 20.6 points and 7.1 assists per game, while Jaron Pierre Jr is averaging 17.9 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Mustangs. SMU is shooting 49.8% from the field, 77.4% on free throws, and 35.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

  • Duke has won each of its last 24 games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
  • SMU has lost 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Duke has won the first half in each of its last 13 Saturday day home games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • SMU has won each of its last 12 Saturday games as an AP-ranked team.
  • SMU has won the first half in each of its last six day games as an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of SMU’s last six day games have produced a total of 168+ points.
  • Each of Duke’s last six day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.

Duke vs SMU Prediction 

Duke comes into this matchup looking to stay undefeated in conference play and they have scored 81+ points in five straight game. The Blue Devils are shooting 50% from the field, but they have allowed 79+ in three of their last four. SMU is coming off of a loss to Clemson, but they are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored 97+ in three of their last four. The Mustangs don’t play a ton of defense, but they can score very quickly. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 158.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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