Duke vs Virginia Prediction 3/14/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Duke vs Virginia prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 14th at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils are 31-2 (17-1) this season after they defeated Clemson by a score of 73-61 in their last game. Duke led 41-22 at halftime, but they were outscored 39-32 in the second half in the win. The Blue Devils shot 46% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 82% on free throws in the game. Cameron Boozer led Duke with 24 points and 14 rebounds, while Cayden Boozer added 16 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Duke defeated FSU by a score of 80-79 and North Carolina by a score of 76-61. The Blue Devils have scored 82.8 points per game with 40.3 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 63.0 points against per game this season. Cameron Boozer is averaging 22.8 points and 10.2 rebounds per game, while Isaiah Evans is averaging 15.0 points and 2.9 rebounds per game for the Blue Devils. Duke is shooting 49.4% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 35.1% on three pointers this year.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 29-4 (15-3) this year after they defeated Miami by a score of 84-62 in their last game. Virginia led 38-23 at halftime and they added 46 points in the second half in the blowout win. The Cavaliers shot 53% from the field, 42% on three pointers, and 92% on free throws in the game. Ugonna Onyenso led UVA with 17 points and five rebounds, while Thijs De Ridder added 16 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Virginia defeated NC State by a score of 81-74 and Virginia Tech by a score of 76-72. The Cavaliers have scored 80.9 points per game with 40.6 rebounds and 16.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.4 points against per game this season. Thijs De Ridder is averaging 15.8 points and 6.2 rebounds per game, while Malik Thomas is averaging 12.2 points and 4.1 rebounds per game for the Cavaliers. Virginia is shooting 46.1% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 35.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

• Duke has won each of its last 14 March games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
• Virginia has lost 11 of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Duke has won the first half in each of its last 11 night games as a top-5 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

• Virginia has won each of its last 17 night games.
• Virginia has won the first half in each of its last seven games as a top-10 AP-ranked team at neutral venues.

Matchup/League Facts

• Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+20.5).
• Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (93.5).
• Virginia ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.2).
• Virginia ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.8).

Duke vs Virginia Prediction 

Duke was able to get a pretty easy win over Clemson on Friday night, but they struggled with FSU on Thursday. The Blue Devils are shooting 49% from the field and they have allowed 64 or fewer in four of their last five. Virginia dominated Miami on Friday and picked up a seven point win over NC State on Thursday. The Cavaliers are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored 75+ in four straight. Duke did beat UVA 77-51 at the end of February, but they are a completely different team right now. Take the points with Virginia here.