Florida State vs Duke Prediction 1/3/26 College Basketball Picks Today

The Duke Blue Devils and Florida State Seminoles meet Saturday in the college basketball action at the Tucker Center. Here’s a Florida State vs Duke Prediction. This article will include a Florida State vs Duke Pick.

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils lost to Texas Tech, beat Georgia Tech, and they play Louisville next. Duke has won 12 of its last 13 games.

The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 87 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 63.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting. Cameron Boozer is averaging 23.5 points and 10.2 rebounds, while Isaiah Evans is averaging 2.2 points and 3.5 rebounds. Patrick Ngongba II is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Foster is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.1 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 28.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.3 rebounds per game.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles beat Jacksonville, lost to North Carolina, and they play NC State next. Florida State has lost 6 of its last 8 games.

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 83.6 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 78.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Robert McCray V is averaging 13.4 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Chauncey Wiggins is averaging 12.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. Lajae Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Kobe MaGee is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 70.8 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won 42 of its last 45 games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center when playing with a rest advantage.
• Florida State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

• Duke has won each of its last 20 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Florida State has lost each of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Duke has won the first half in each of its last 11 January road games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida State’s last 23 games against AP-ranked opponents at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
• Each of Duke’s last 16 road day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida State ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (36.5).
• Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Duke is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Duke ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.2).

Florida State vs Duke Prediction

Florida State has been underwhelming for much of the season, which includes an outright loss to UMass. FSU is 0-7-1 ATS in its last 8 games, not covering a number since November 25. Now, Duke has been burning a hole in the pocket lately as well, which includes a loss to Texas Tech as a near double-digit favorite.

However, Duke has shown us far more this season, and the talent is there. If Duke shows up motivated, this game could get ugly. Huge number for a road conference game, but I don’t like what I’m seeing from the Noles. I’ll lay the points.